Intermarket Conditions Still Flash Caution for Stocks

The intermarket deterioration pointed out last week has worsened, and now at a sector level, semiconductors and tech are starting to display weakness as well. Energy has popped up nicely going into the FOMC rate decision, which could be another warning sign for equities over the next couple weeks.

All Quiet Ahead of Big Data Week

The S&P was unrelenting as it closed near the high of the day. While today was quietly rising, the coming days may prove to be perilous. With mega cap earnings reports from $MSFT, $AAPL, $AMZN, $GOOG, $META and others, the FOMC policy statement and jobs appear to be small potatoes. This will be a pivotal…

Polarized Market Movements Wreak Havoc

—Options driving manic intraday movement —head in the game; moves are fast and unrelenting —dollar strength and foreign bond demand —Tesla not so magnificent after all —Tech is vulnerable… and there were 6 —Enter the Fed SPX Expected Move - -last week - 58.27 (5-day expected move) -next week - 70.87 (5-day expected move)

Will PCE Reaffirm High Inflation?

In today's video we look forward to Friday's Personal Consumption and Expenditure (PCE) Price Index. We discuss the expectation of inflation remaining relatively high and the impact on consumer spending. We look at oil prices as a predictive indication of inflation and earnings as a reactive indicator of inflation.

What's Chipping Away at This Rally?

Various intermarket conditions point to an increased potential for turbulence in equities in the coming days and weeks. Save for semiconductors and the monsters of tech, which continue to act well, a sustained rebound in the Dollar and uptick in long-term interest rates suggest that risk conditions are elevated near-term.

Your Guide to Volatile Earnings This Week - NFLX On the Move

This week we get to play some earnings trades as earnings season begins for 2024. We're seeing Netflix (NFLX) rally immediately after hours on its earnings as we plot its expected move for tomorrow and beyond. Also, we update you on earnings earlier in the day and those planned for the next few days for…

Unstoppable Bull or Hibernating Bear?

Is this the resurgence of a bull market or are investors walking into the bear trap? Let's look at how to identify a bull or bear market. ($PYPL, $SMCI, $KWEB, $KEY, $GEO, $PPC, $MU, $WDC).

Markets Rip with a Feverish Pitch!

-tech comes roaring back -NVDA is the market -call buyers gone wild, skew inverts -Fed funds go 50:50 in March SPX Expected Move - -last week - 55.12 (4-day expected move) -next week - 58.27 (5-day expected move)

Did Today's Volume Signal New Record Highs ahead of Sentiment

In today's video we analyze the major indexes movement on higher than average volume. We discuss the potential impact of a better-than-expected Consumer Sentiment report. We also target the S&P 500 reaching new record highs over the next couple of trading days.

Late Rally Reveals Key Level to Watch for the S&P 500

All S&P 500 sectors finished in the red as interest rate expectations begin to shift into the March FOMC policy announcement. This caused selling in more interest rate sensitive parts of the market and a shift toward consumer staples. However, a large SPY print of 1.65M shares revealed a key level to watch for the…