Significant Risk Prevalent for the Week Ahead

The major stock indices once again ended a week within the expected move and that is why we have been talking about this in every weekend update for months. Going into next week implied volatility has risen across the board signaling major risk in the market. The expected move in the S&P has not been…

Weak Productivity Growth Is A Global Problem

The question of where American productivity growth has gone is plaguing policymakers. Without productivity growth, the economy must rely on credit growth to boost GDP. Credit growth is like food. If you eat a normal amount, you’ll be fine. If you eat too much food, you gain wait and become unhealthy. If the debt piles…

Stocks Rally On Fiscal Policy Progress By Republicans

The stock market rallied on Thursday as it appears the mini 3% correction is over. As I’ve mentioned, there is a large group of investors who are dying to get into the market. Whenever there is a 5% correction, they plow money into stocks. Because 5% corrections have become rare, these bullish investors preempt them…

Technical Analysis vs. Statistical Analysis = Same Result

Stocks take off higher moving about 1% up across the board. In tonight's video let's look at the market through two lenses because either lens you want to use you get the same result. Watch tonight's video to find out what the most likely outcome will be for tomorrow's trading day and what opportunities you…

The IMF Recognizes The Debt Bubble

In this article, I will discuss the findings posted in the IMF’s Global Stability Report and some of the latest economic statistics. The IMF’s report was shocking as it has graphs that look like what economic realists like John Hussman and David Stockman publish. When the bearish narrative leaks into government reports, you know the…

Oil and IBM Crash On Wednesday

The three news items which drove equities on Wednesday were the drop in oil prices, the drop in IBM’s stock, and the Fed’s Beige Book. I recently called IBM a zombie stock because of its revenue declines. The weakness is finally being reflected in the stock as it is down about 11% since March 1st.…

Oil Reversal Disrupts Markets

Stocks opened higher this morning shaking off more bad earnings this time from IBM. However, as the trading day progressed indices so lower highs and lower lows into the close. Oil sudden tumble mid day sent shockwaves into the rest of the market. In tonight's video we will identify the single best opportunity in the…

Global Government Bond Yields Are Plummeting

The latest movements in markets are starting to be in sync with a slow growth economy. This makes sense as the blue-chip GDP forecast has been decelerating quickly. The global trend in declining bond yields can be see below. The range the U.S. ten-year bond was in for the beginning of the year has been…

Bonds Biggest Risk to Stocks

Stocks ended the day slightly lower as poor earnings from GS and JNJ pulls the markets down. However, the big mover of the day was the Bond market. For those that don't know the bond market is much larger than the stock market. Bonds are a flight to safety and with volume extremely light in…

Millennials Can’t Catch A Break

The previous discussion about the labor market showed how it’s tough to quantify the slack in the labor market. The Fed has been relatively dovish at the end of this cycle even though the unemployment rate suggests the labor market is near full employment. Another reason why the Fed hasn’t been hawkish has been the…

Page 1 of 84