Jackson Hole Speech - Stocks Gear Up

Slight Selloff As Market Awaits Jackson Hole Speech It seems like all the market cares about is Fed policy because it barely moved on Thursday even though there was a lot of economic data released, some of which I reviewed in a previous article. As I’ve discussed in previous articles, Powell is speaking at Jackson…

Markit PMI Consistent With Just 1.5% Q3 GDP Growth

Strong Leading Economic Indicators On an intermediate term basis, the Conference Board leading economic indicators report doesn’t look good, but that’s not the fault of the July monthly reading which was very strong. Specifically, it was up 0.5% monthly which beat estimates for 0.2% growth and met the high end of the consensus range. Plus,…

Getting Ready for the Breakout Volatility Friday

Are you ready for some volatility?  The Federal Reserve will announce its annual meeting policy information and that could be a catalyst for a big move across all markets.  In tonight's video, Corey walks you through the Dominant and Alternate Thesis breakout plans in Stocks, Gold, Oil, and US Treasuries.  Be prepared!

Hawkish Minutes Force Another Yield Curve Inversion

Hawkish Fed Minutes The Fed’s Minutes from its late July meeting were released on Wednesday. I think the Minutes were hawkish because the Fed was far from committing to more rate cuts even though as recently as this week, there was about a 50% chance of 3 more cuts by the end of the year.…

Tariffs To Hurt Consumers More Than The Tax Cuts Helped Them

Redbook Sales Growth Redbook same store sales growth in the week of August 17th was 4.9% which was a jump from 4.4%. This means August’s retail sales growth is tracking at a slightly lower, but still strong pace, as compared to July. This is prime shopping time for the back to school season. Each week’s data…

Worst Case Scenario Protection on Break Above this Key Level

Are you ready for a big bullish breakout in the equity market?  While all the evidence points to the short-side of the market against resistance, our first goal is to "think risk first" and we're doing that in tonight's video.  What is your plan to adapt, hedge, cover, or profit from a breakout here?  Corey…

Trade Weighted Dollar Hits A Record High

Stock Market Ends 3 Day Winning Streak The stock market ended its 3 day winning streak as the S&P 500 fell 0.79% on Tuesday. In the past few corrections we have seen a sharp downturn, a smaller sharp upturn, then a retest of the low, and then a gradual rally until the market hits new…

Recessionary Warning - The Yield Curve Is The Only One

Yield Curve Only Indicator Showing Recession Before you get scared of the yield curve predicting a recession, look at the other indicators. If it wasn’t for the trade war, it’s possible the manufacturing sector wouldn’t be contracting. Without the trade war, it would be clear to most there’s little risk of a U.S. recession in…

Have Faith in the FED?

Markets remain relatively volatile and all risk assets are pointing to a major inflection point in the broader markets…Enter the Fed!  FOMC minutes are due out on Wed but the real risk comes in Jerome Powell’s speech from Jackson Hole on Friday morning.  Will Powell cave and indicate more rate cuts?  Find out how Don…

Overblown Recession Fears As Stocks Continue To Recover

Stocks Reverse Recession Worries The only economic report that came out on Monday was quarterly e-commerce retail sales. It showed similar results to the July retail sales report. The category is on fire as quarterly growth improved from 3.6% to 4.2% in Q2. Yearly growth was 13.3%; e-commerce grew 0.2% to 10.7% of total retail…

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