Every Sector Has Seen Multiple Compression In 2018

Does The Stock Market Matter To Trade? On Monday, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross claimed there was no level the stock market could fall to that would cause the President to change his trade policy. It’s not surprising to hear the White House claim this because if it stated there was a level the market could…

Weak Consumer Spending Pushed Down GDP Estimates

Trade Tensions Cause Futures To Sell Off Recently there has been a trend where stocks open higher and then fall throughout the day because of trade tensions. The key factor in determining when the selloff occurs is when the news comes out. If it comes out the night before, the futures decline, then the market…

A Trade Idea for the Emerging Markets

Stocks start the day down and rally back to end the day positive. In this video newsletter update we analyze a trading idea in the EEM. Watch this video newsletter for the trade and the analysis to find out if this trade is right for you...

Stocks End 1H 2018 With A Dud

Stocks End A Weak First Half The stock market had a good Friday until the hour before the close where it gave back almost all the day’s gains. The S&P 500 was up only 8 basis points to close out the quarter. The headlines mid-day stated that Nike was pushing the entire market up, but…

Outlier Trades Are Where You Want To Be

In this crucial weekend video newsletter update we focus on outlier trades that can generate massive returns at low risk. Watch this video newsletter update right now to so you know what type of trade to put on and put it on in the right market...

Banks Stress Tested: Most Pass

Stocks Rebound Modestly After a terrible week and a bad run for the bank stocks, the market finally rallied on Thursday. I expected this rally since the CNN Fear and Greed index showed the market was oversold. Interestingly, the Dow’s decision to replace GE with Walgreens was a big mistake in the near term. GE…

Biggest Structural Risks Facing The Market

Structural Risk: Trade Wars In a previous article, I reviewed the cyclical risks in the Venn diagram below. Now let’s review the middle risks which are both structural and cyclical. The trade wars are considered cyclical because Trump is going to be President for another 2.5 years or 6.5 years. Without him, these tariffs wouldn’t…

Breakout or Fizzle out? Key Levels to Watch in the Markets Right Now

In this video you will see a comparison in the recent movement up to key levels - such as 2,700 /ES, 7,000 /NQ, $74 in /CL, and $1,250 /GC and then note future pathways - and thus trade opportunities - depending on whether we "breakout" beyond these pivots or "fizzle out" and retrace here against…

The Financials Have Been Down A Record 13 Straight Days

Stocks Open Up On Trump Statement The stock market rose at the beginning of Wednesday’s trading session because the statement about technology investment wasn’t as draconian as expected. The President released plans to strengthen use of the Committee on Foreign Investment in the U.S. There was no specific 25% Chinese ownership block like mentioned in…

Atlanta Fed Nowcast Shows 4.5% Q2 GDP Growth

Weak Durable Goods Report Hurt By Auto Supplier Fire After the weak manufacturing component of industrial production, we are now seeing weakness in industrial production because of an auto supplier fire. On May 2nd, there was an explosion at an auto supplier called Meridian Magnesium Products of America in Eaton Rapids. This plant has annual…