Stocks Decline 3% For The 5th Time In 2018

Stocks Decline - Yield Curve Panic Sends Stocks Cratering Many investors have been following the yield curve all year. For the first time in this cycle, it appears the stock market recognized the flattening curve. Personally, I find it interesting how indicators evolve. When everyone follows an indicator, its results change. This doesn’t necessarily mean…

Economy Not Falling Off A Cliff

Economy - No Need To Panic It’s very important to avoid being emotionally affected by the stock market tape. If you are moved by it, don’t trade based on those emotions. Stocks swing wildly while the economy shifts slowly. There are only extreme, quick moves in the economy in times of panic during terrible recessions…

What Bonds Say About The Stock Market Selloff

Bond prices surged and Treasury yields fell sharply today while stock prices collapsed from resistance targets.  What does this suggest about the future of the stock market and what updated levels should we be using for our trades?  Corey discusses this and more in tonight's video featuring /ES, /ZB, /ZN, TLT, and IEF.

First Yield Curve Inversion: Recession Coming?

First Yield Curve Inversion - Trade Related Rally On Monday The S&P 500 rallied 1.09% on news that China and America agreed to a 90 day negotiating window where tariffs won’t be raised. Initially, the futures market rallied heavily, but during normal trading hours it wasn’t a spectacular day. This is because the prospect of…

Inflation Misses Estimates, Giving The Fed A Chance To Pause Rate Hikes

Inflation Misses Estimates PCE inflation is going to decelerate. It will face tough comparisons in the next few months. These include slowing global growth and housing price growth. Also, commodity prices are falling. The Bloomberg CRB commodity ETF is down 5.56% year to date. Headline PCE inflation was up 0.2% month over month in October.…

G20 is Done, What Now?

Stocks open much higher and then fade the rest of the day on what is being interpreted as good news out of the G20. In this video newsletter we demonstrate how efficient market was today and what to watch now. Here's what you need to know for the rest of the trading week...

Yield Curve Comes Close To Inverting

Yield Curve - Friday Ends Strong Week This was an amazing week for stocks. The S&P 500 increased 4.85%. That’s greater than the entire year to date increase which is 3.24%. Stocks rallied 0.82% on Friday because of hopes that America and China will make a trade deal. It’s dangerous for stocks to rally on…

This Bear is Far from Done

The rally this past week was nearly 2 standard deviations meaning it moved twice what was expected. With the market anticipating a binary event for Monday with news out of the G20 here are the opportunities you will want to consider for next week...

Regional Fed Indexes Signal An Incoming Weak ISM Report

Regional Fed Indexes - Stocks Fall Slightly When the S&P 500 was down, the headlines blamed worries about tariffs. When stocks were up, the Fed got the credit as their Minutes were released Thursday. Clearly, this is the wrong way to look at the market because the tariff news won’t come out until Friday and…

October New Home Sales Fall 12%

October New Home Sales - Amazon Takes Everything Before we get into October new home sales, let's review the overall market action over the past few days. Amazing is gaining an increasingly large piece of the retail pie. It is nabbing a huge percentage of retail growth. As you can see from the chart below,…

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