Is It Time To Load Up On US Treasurys?

Here we are, UK referendum day and markets seem all but certain that the “remain” camp is going to ultimately prevail. The latest polls showed the “leave” camp trailing headed into what’s turned out to be a wet day of reckoning in Britain, where “torrential” rain forced some polling stations to close. We’ve seen the…

Is Market Risk Still About the Brexit Vote?

TheoTraders look at all the market correlations to determine what's exactly happening inside the market. For example, we look at the US Bonds which has made a huge move higher ahead of the Brexit vote. Today, with the "leave" possibility off the table you would expect Bonds to have a much more severe reaction lower.…

Time To Rotate Out Of Stocks And Into… Overpriced Bonds?

It wasn’t a good week for stocks. The Dow and the S&P shed more than 1% while the Nasdaq lost nearly 2%. The problem: the UK may vote to leave the EU next week. “Brexit” - like “Grexit” before it - is something that most US equity investors neither care about nor want to hear…

Free Fallin’: Global Yields Collapse, But Beware The Snapback

It’s a perfect storm. An abysmal NFP print in the US, a worsening outlook for global growth, jitters over whether Britain will vote to leave the EU, and billionaires effectively coming out of retirement to buy gold and make “a bunch of big bearish bets.” And then there’s the lingering threat that China could simply…

Bonds going parabolic

Treasury bonds continue to march higher. Let's review what this means for the stock market.

Time to Short Bonds (again)

TheoTraders look to take advantage of discrepancies in the market. When you see two products that are suppose to move in the opposite direction of each other correlated a TheoTrader knows one product has to return to normal. In this case Bonds & Stocks are both near all time highs. A TheoTrade knows something has…

Market Uncertainty

Market Uncertainty Market uncertainty is heating up. The Fed toying with the markets each day as investors hang on their ever word. The chance of a Fed Funds rate in June as elevated to 30% from near zero only a few weeks ago. There is a major election with big policy issues at stake which…

Opportunity in the Bonds

Opportunity in the Bonds It was only last week that I talked about scaling into a longer term short position in the bonds. I was only able to get partially in the position when Bonds broke hard today. Never look a gift horse in the mouth. I covered the short Bond position today and will…

Lower For Longer: Street Bets On Treasury Rally As Top Fed Official Warns On Policy

"I think markets may be extrapolating from our recent behavior and thinking all we do is delay.” That’s from Jeffrey Lacker and it’s entirely accurate. Lacker has been a vocal critic of the FOMC’s easy money policies for years and on Monday, The Washington Post published an exclusive interview with the Richmond Fed chief. Back…

TLT Stock

TLT Stock Is the Bond bubble ready to burst? Tonight I'm putting all TheoTrade subscribers I notice that I'm starting to set up a long term short position in TLT stock. TLT, is the ETF that tracks the long term bonds the best. Make sure you watch this video to learn how I plan to…

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