Uncertainty Prevails With Volatility At Extremes

After 9 down days don't get fooled into thinking that the 10th day needs to be an up day in terms of volatility. There is still a 50/50 chance that Monday could be an up day or down day. What you need to pay attention to more is the risk you have exposed. In this…

Historical Volatility vs. Implied Volatility

TheoTraders look for disparages between historical volatility and implied volatility to determine what kind of an edge the market is giving us. TheoTraders love nothing better than to sell premium. However, that's not what the market is giving us right now. The SPX implied volatility is telling us that it is more advantageous to be…

Is Market Risk Still About the Brexit Vote?

TheoTraders look at all the market correlations to determine what's exactly happening inside the market. For example, we look at the US Bonds which has made a huge move higher ahead of the Brexit vote. Today, with the "leave" possibility off the table you would expect Bonds to have a much more severe reaction lower.…

Is The Risk Greater Than the Market is Showing?

TheoTraders look beyond the noise of the market into what can be called second level thinking. If the markets are priced to efficiently and volatility drop to zero is this the safest time or the most riskiest time to buy? The casual thinker may say the safest. A TheoTrader would say the riskiest. A TheoTrader…

AMZN Bearish Trade Setup Alert

Another bearish trade setup alert for TheoTraders. TheoTraders look for a 1 and 1 risk/reward ratios where you have an edge. In tonight's video we will look at one such trade set up. TheoTraders should take a moment to review this trade to determine if this is an actionable trade for you. TheoTrade members got…

Time to Short Bonds (again)

TheoTraders look to take advantage of discrepancies in the market. When you see two products that are suppose to move in the opposite direction of each other correlated a TheoTrader knows one product has to return to normal. In this case Bonds & Stocks are both near all time highs. A TheoTrade knows something has…

Rolling Options

TheoTraders don't trade with hopium. TheoTraders will always give themselves the gift of time for a trade to work out. When a trade is on the dance floor with only a few days remaining until expiration a TheoTrader will never roll the dice. A TheoTrader will roll an option several weeks out at a credit…

Trade ideas for the week

TheoTraders look for opportunities in the current market. You never want to stay stuck in one trading mindset. A lot of traders are talking about selling weekly premium. However, TheoTraders know that implied volatility is not correlating with the intraday moves in the market. TheoTraders, let's take a look at the types of trades you…

Bearish Trade Setup Alert

Another bearish trade setup alert for TheoTraders. TheoTraders look for a 1 and 1 risk/reward ratios where you have an edge. In tonight's video we will look at one such trade set up. TheoTraders should take a moment to review this trade to determine if this is an actionable trade for you. TheoTrade members will…

Trades that put the odds in your favor

Trades that put the odds in your favor "May the odds be ever in your favor" Hunger Games Each week TheoTraders look for trades with an edge. TheoTraders want to find trades that put the odds in your favor. In this weekend edition find out the types of trades that you want to take in…

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