Signs of Long Duration Risk Emerging

Markets continue to weaken in key areas. We have been talking for a while about a small group of stocks holding the markets higher. Today we saw a breakdown of these stocks much greater than the overall market. Here's where you need to keep your eyes on in the coming days...

How the S&P500 Will Handle the Next Week

Lots of catalysts over the next week around the S&P500 starting tomorrow with the FOMC announcement. Unemployment numbers come out on Friday. Oh and let's not forget the Presidential election which encompasses wikileaks and FBI announcements. Here's how to navigate the markets in the face all these landmines...  

Risk Metrics Explode as Markets Approach a Key Threshold

An October surprise sends volatility spiking higher on Friday. Here's what to look for this coming week. What types of trades to put on and how to take advantage of the election spread...

When Will The Monetary Madness End?

            The U.S. economy is in an interesting situation. The manufacturing economy started weakening in 2014. Industrial production has declined for 13 straight months which is the longest streak outside of a recession ever. Earnings peaked in 2015 and have been declining ever since. Both the Russell 2000 and the NYSE peaked in 2015. All…

The Search for Alpha

Where do you go for returns in this market place? Stocks are at all time highs. Bonds are at all time highs. Gold is up 25% in the last 6 months. Since May, we’ve heard negative equity calls from Stan Druckenmiller, George Soros, Carl Icahn, Jeff Gundlach and Bill Gross. Why? Because being short is…

Relationships in the Market

There is divergence in the force... the market that is. Looking at the 3 major indexes - the SPX, RUT, and QQQ - the weakest index has become the strongest and the strongest the weakest. One thing that we have been harping on is historical volatility vs. implied volatility. Everybody wants to be premium sellers…

Mind The Equity Risk Premium

So we made it through non-farm payrolls Friday unscathed. In fact, we got a humdinger of a number that at one point during the session propelled the S&P to new record highs. The next hurdle for markets: earnings season. On the whole, y/y earnings growth for S&P 500 companies is expected to come in somewhere…

Markets Look To Fed Minutes, Jobs Report With Wary Eyes; Goldman Sees “Drawdown”

If you think it feels a bit tenuous out there you’d be right. On the heels of a rather inauspicious Tuesday session that saw the British pound hit a 31-year low while crude and gasoline futures plunged on (over)supply concerns, it was risk-off overseas, a sentiment that muddied the waters on Wall Street ahead of…

Is the Panic Over?

A strong 3 day rally takes the S&P back to nearly pre-Brexit levels. Is the panic over? Well, let's go back and look at some other past events in recent stock market history. Also, we will look at a few fractal charts to determine some possible trade entries.

Volatility Continues as Trouble Overseas Grow

The markets have some strong headwinds to overcome. From a fundamental perspective multinational companies have a lot of currency risk at stake. From a geopolitical point of view "global Order" has been rocked as the movement towards nationalism and away from globalism continue to gain steam. And tonight we look at the markets breaking down…

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