SPX Weekly Options

SPX Weekly Options SPX Weekly Options now have 2 weekly options per week. Yes I know it's confusing. There is now a mid week SPX expiration to go along with the end of week expiration. They did this to match up the SPX with the volatility futures. Let's take a look at the probabilities in…

Stock Market Sectors Performance

Stock Market Sectors Performance How are the difference stock market sectors performing with the SPX rising to its highest level since the first week of the year? The SPX is in a make or break area. This level has failed twice already and now the SPX could either make it's way to 2000 or fail…

Volatility in the Stock Market

Volatility in the Stock Market Here's how TheoTrade has traded with the volatility in the stock market. This week we closed out winning trades in AMZN, EEM, and SPX. Let's look to next week and what we expect. There is a strong possibility of there being a little bit more of a short covering rally…

Recession 2016

Recession 2016 More and more evidence of a recession in 2016 seems to be rearing it's ugly head. Bonds are screaming higher which is a tell tale sign that the market is thinking recession. Meanwhile financials are officially in a bear market. I keep watching the implied volatility in the XLF and that tells you…

XLF Volatility Signals Fears

XLF Volatility Signals Fears XLF volatility signals fear is at an extreme. The implied volatility is telling anyone looking to stay away from the long side of this market. It is also telling us is that no longer risk is here, but here to stay. The XLF IV% is over 30% for the foreseeable future.…

Stock Market Divergences

Stock Market Divergences Stock market divergence is taking center stage with the Nasdaq still outperforming the RUT and S&P by a wide margin. Eventually the indexes will have to get back in alignment before the bear market is over. Let's also take a look at the high volatility in the XLF. In tonight's video you'll…

Stock Market Levels

Stock Market Levels Stock market levels are important to keep on your screen. We have been pointing out the significance of the 1871 level in the S&P for quite some time. Today the sharp sell off stopped at the 1871 level and rallied. The financial stocks represented by the XLF sold off to new lows…

GOOGL Earnings

GOOGL Earnings GOOGL earnings makes Google or Alphabet, Inc is the new 800lb gorilla. The largest company by market cap! Can GOOGL lead the markets higher? We will soon see. The risks in this market is vast. Let's go through them one by one tonight.

Selling Premium Weekly Options

Selling Premium Weekly Options Selling Premium in Weekly Options has been what's out there. The SPX last week stayed within the expected move. Ideal for premium sellers. So what to expect next week? I've been watching the SKEW which has dropped off significantly. I'm interpreting this as traders are reloading for the next down move.…

XLF Stock Watch

XLF Stock Watch The market gave up most of the gains from Friday as each rally is met with a new wave of sellers. In a volatile market predictability goes out the window. All I'm doing is selling out of the money premium and that's all I'm recommending right now. The most ominous aspect of…

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