Hedge Funds Are Trapped

Gianni Di Poce just laid out the most aggressive upside targets I’ve heard all year. He’s calling for NASDAQ 100 at 29,000 to 30,000 in the next few months.

That’s not wishful thinking. Semiconductors have already broken to new all-time highs.

The setup is textbook. Tech has rotated back to sector leadership over the last two weeks. Gianni points out that tech leading out of market lows is the exact pattern we’ve seen at every major bottom.

Hedge funds shorted at their fastest pace in recent memory. Faster than the tariff tantrums of 2025. Now they’re trapped and covering, which is fueling this rip higher.

The Mag 10 just broke out of a broadening wedge formation. For context, the NASDAQ traded in a 3,000 point range over the past eight months. Gianni sees that consolidation as a launchpad.

He’s calling it the Gulf War playbook. Six months of turbulence in the early ’90s gave way to a sustained rally once the dust settled. The geopolitical backdrop today looks similar.

Here’s what Gianni flagged in tonight’s video:

  • Semiconductors are already at new all-time highs and leading the broader market higher out of the correction lows.
  • Nvidia consolidated sideways for nine to ten months near its highs and is now set to break out, which Gianni expects will pull the rest of the market with it.
  • The S&P 500 target sits at 7,700 conservatively, with the NASDAQ 100 at 29,000 to 30,000.
  • Bitcoin is pressing against 74,000 to 76,000 and a clear of that level opens a path to 82,000 to 86,000.
  • The MOVE index has dropped hard, oil prices are falling, and the VIX continues drifting lower. None of that signals a market about to fall apart.

The bond market is calming down. Oil is pulling back toward $80 on the June contract. Volatility keeps compressing. Gianni reads all of this as confirmation that risk appetite is returning.

He also noted that crypto bottomed about six weeks before stocks did and topped before stocks did. If Bitcoin breaks out of its range, that’s another signal the bid for risk is real.

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