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The Trap Door Sits At 765

https://youtu.be/f8EApDKtpzA Brandon Chapman spent today watching a single number hold this market together. SPY 765 absorbed every bit of selling pressure and refused to crack….

They’re Defending The Wrong Bond

The Treasury has signalled it will defend the 30-year bond. So every trader in the country is now watching the 30-year, which means almost nobody…

The Selloff Shape Nobody Watches For

There is a market condition almost nobody watches for. You already know how a normal selloff behaves. Price drops, fear shows up, volatility spikes, and…

Someone Just Hedged $113 Million Midday

Hey trader, Something came through on the Qs at 11:36 today that I couldn’t walk past. Someone bought 38,000 put contracts near the ask. Run…

One Box Replaces Three of Your Indicators

Hey Trader, Your candlestick shows price. Volume sits in a separate panel underneath. That split makes you read the chart twice. You process price, then…

Monday, August 31, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Weakness Carries Over — Bulls Need to Step Upby Tony Rago New week, new opportunities to make money! Weakness from Friday carried over into the…

Why The Last Dime Costs the Most

Hey trader, A vertical spread carries a hard ceiling. Buy the 40 call, sell the 42, and $2 is everything it can ever be worth….

The Exit That Saves You Before Your Stop Does

Hey Trader, Last week I told you to build the sheet. This week the sheet had something to say. And it’s these tiny lessons that…

The Great Migration Out of Bonds

Hey trader, A colleague messaged me this week with a question a lot of people are quietly wrestling with. He couldn’t reconcile the list of…

The Number Put Sellers Never Check

Hey trader, Selling puts for income looks easy until assignment shows up. The fattest premium on the chain usually carries the thinnest cushion. Plenty of…

When I Parked Next to Bill Gross & Mohamed El-Erian

Hey trader, Twenty-five years ago, I drove into the same office as Bill Gross and Mohamed El-Erian every single morning in Newport Beach. Bill parked…

The speech dropped before he spoke

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LtlNKKq2siI Don here. Kevin Warsh spoke Friday morning, and Wall Street’s algorithms read every word before he opened his mouth. Here’s how it works. The…

76% Higher With Two Down Days In It

Salesforce ran 76% with two down days in it. Two!!! That took the stock from down 42% on the year to up 2%. SAP did…

The Speech Gets Released Before He Says A Word

The speech gets released before the man says a word. The exact words sitting in the teleprompter get shot out fractions of a second before…

Friday, August 28, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Bulls Have the Ball — Now Keep Itby Tony Rago Bulls were able to close near yesterday’s highs, so the ball is firmly in their…

The Market Ran Out Of Money

https://youtu.be/K3CXbL4I2sE?si=8I0vEUbPwxM2Evxg Blake Young pulled up the volume chart today. The S&P 500 is now averaging 34 million shares a day. In April that average sat…

Nvidia’s 10% Drop Wasn’t About Earnings

Hey trader, Nvidia fell almost 10% into last night’s earnings. I measured it high to low with the drawing tool this morning, and that’s the…

Thursday, August 27, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

NVDA Breaks the Range — Now What?by Tony Rago NVDA reports and lifts both NQ and ES out of the sideways zone we’ve been stuck…

Someone Wants CRML at $10 Friday

Hey trader, CRML faded most of the day… Yet, the calls kept getting bought anyway. My Console alert on the name fires when a single…

The Expected Move Nailed Earnings

https://youtu.be/9bsCN1TjKwc I sat down an hour after the bell and waited on NVIDIA. The options market had already marked the landing spot. NVIDIA closed near…

The Trap Door Sits At 765
They’re Defending The Wrong Bond
The Selloff Shape Nobody Watches For
Someone Just Hedged $113 Million Midday
One Box Replaces Three of Your Indicators
Monday, August 31, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

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Don Kaufman

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