Gianni Di Poce, Author at TheoTrade

Where Global Money Goes After The Fed Pauses

October 10, 2026

Hello Trader, Every bull market runs on a clock. The Fed’s latest rate hike cycle just gave us a good read on what time it is. The Fed kicked off this cycle on September 16. It now looks set to pause at the next meeting on October 28. That pause has me excited. It tells us roughly where we sit in this equity cycle. It also points to where the biggest pools of capital on the planet are likely headed next. I think one corner of the market will soak up most of that money. I expect that corner to put on a full blowoff before this bull market is done. A blowoff is the steep, fast run higher that tends to close out a cycle. I want you positioned there before that run starts. The dollar holds the key. Once you see how this rate hike cycle pulls money

Bulls Are Entrenching Themselves

October 5, 2026

Hey trader, Last week was another win for the bulls. The Nasdaq outperformed for the fifth week in a row. Equal-weight tech also hit a new all-time high. That cemented tech as the sector with the strongest momentum in the near term. The average stock is getting left behind. Still, the stocks and sectors that matter the most continue to do the right things. That gap carries extra weight right now. Q4 is in full swing, and the calendar is working against any money manager who’s trailing the benchmark. Managers in that spot face a lot of pressure to chase performance into year-end. That chase could set up a final blowoff before volatility returns with a vengeance. Bears love to point at narrow breadth as proof the rally is fragile. The equal-weight tech breakout puts a serious dent in that argument. The other piece of the puzzle sits in the

3 Ways Falling Yields Can Repair Market Breadth

October 3, 2026

Hey trader, The bears just won’t let go of market breadth. I’m happy to keep the conversation going for one more week. Nasdaq futures hit another new all-time high last week. Meanwhile, the average stock is still suffering big time. Bears keep pointing to that gap as a warning sign. I think it’s setting up a catch-up move in the stocks that got left behind. Market breadth measures how widely a rally is shared. It improves when advancing stocks outnumber decliners and small caps, cyclicals, and rate-sensitive groups join the move. The catalyst I’m watching sits in the bond market. A short squeeze in bonds can drive yields lower in a hurry and loosen financial conditions without a formal cut from the Fed. That kind of unplanned easing gives the laggards a reason to move. It could also give the Dow the push it needs to finally make a new

How Tech Just Slammed the Door on Bears

September 28, 2026

Hey trader, Just when bears looked ready to turn the tide for good, bulls stepped in. They reminded everyone why the trend is your friend. The Nasdaq outperformed for the fourth week in a row. Last week, it also hit its first all-time high since June. Bears had been leaning on rising rates, geopolitical headlines, and weak market breadth to make their case. Tech ran straight through all three worries. Tech now leads on three of the four timeframes I track. That kind of leadership tells me bulls are in a position to follow through this week. A rate hike cycle usually scares people out of growth stocks. History shows it can fuel them instead, and I’ve lined up three signals that will tell us whether bulls keep the ball this week. The leaderboard lays the groundwork. Growth Storms Back With a Vengeance Performance Leader 1-week 30-day YTD 1-year Sector

Only 2.2% of the S&P 500 Hit New Highs

September 26, 2026

Hello trader, At one point this month, 2.2% of the S&P 500 managed a fresh 20-day high. That’s roughly 11 stocks out of 500 pushing forward while the index itself sat near a record. Every commentator with a chart package found that number and reached the same verdict: The rally is hollow and the top is in. They’re stopping about two steps too early. So let’s go through the rest of the numbers together, because they’re worse than the casual observer realizes. Then I’ll show you the outcome almost nobody is positioning for, and exactly where on your screen it would announce itself first. What The Internals Are Really Saying Market breadth measures how many stocks are genuinely participating in an advance. Right now, the average S&P 500 stock isn’t confirming the index at all. Over half of the member stocks trade below their 200-day moving averages. The last time

Why The Bears Just Lost Their Best Shot

September 21, 2026

Hey trader, Last week’s rate hike landed like a reality check for the bears. They’ve been throwing everything they have at this market, and the tape absorbed all of it. Bulls didn’t just shrug off the hike. They shrugged off the AI backlash and the geopolitical tensions stacked on top of it. The Nasdaq quietly outperformed for the third week in a row. Energy sold off. The Magnificent Seven rallied as a basket to new all-time highs. Last week did a lot of work. I’ll break down what the rotation tells me about this cycle, show you the handful of sectors holding the entire index up, and lay out how I’m getting ready for what comes next. The evidence is overwhelming that we’re in the later stages of this bull market. This is where the most fun begins. Welcome to the Next Market Stage Performance Leader 1-week 30-day YTD 1-year

Why Rate Hikes Don’t Kill Stocks

September 19, 2026

Hello Trader, Kevin Warsh went ahead and did it. The Fed restarted the rate hike cycle. That upends the entire macroeconomic structure, because they’re tinkering with the price of money itself. Everything else falls downstream from that. But what if rate hikes don’t actually hurt stocks? Shocking right? Every economist on television would vomit their insides out if they heard me say this. So let me show you what the history actually says about hikes, where the money rotates next, and how I’m positioned going into it. Why Hikes Don’t Automatically Kill Stocks Traders keep repeating that rate hikes are bearish for stocks. History doesn’t back that up. The argument goes that higher rates crush valuations, borrowing costs climb for companies, and bonds start looking better than equities. Each of those channels is real in time. History still doesn’t treat every hiking cycle as a sell signal. In most modern

Why the Crash Calls Are Weeks Too Late

September 14, 2026

Hey trader, The headlines this weekend were enough to make your head spin. Tech barons called for AI regulation. Saudi Arabia shut down oil pipelines. By Sunday night, the “big crash” calls were everywhere. Market internals have been weakening for weeks. The crowd is only noticing now. Their timing never ceases to amaze me. Let me save you the panic. That sector leaderboard everyone is pointing at is a weeks-old warning, not a fresh one. Tech has been outperforming underneath it the whole time. I’ll show you both, then tell you where I stand going into the Fed. Bears Are Getting Comfortable at the Wrong Time Performance Leader 1-week 30-day YTD 1-year Sector Energy (XLE) Energy (XLE) Energy (XLE) Energy (XLE) You could cut the tension in the air with a knife. One look at the sector leaderboard explains why so many traders are borderline hysterical. Energy is running the

Old Assumptions You Need to Toss Now

September 12, 2026

Hello Trader, Markets change. What worked then doesn’t mean it will work now. Just look at the dollar and crude. Yet, I see traders run a playbook from a market that died five years ago and shake my head. How do they not realize what they’re doing? Their accounts erode over time. Yet, they blame the tape instead of the model. Nowhere does that show up more clearly than in the link between the dollar, oil, and interest rates. Those three got rewritten this decade. It’s time to change your thinking. So let me walk you through why the dollar and crude move together now. The bond market already tipped its hand on where inflation goes from here, and I’ll get into what it’s telling us. You’ll walk away with three adjustments to make this week. Plus, I’ll tell you where I stand on each one too. Why The Old

This Winning Sector is Holding Back Stocks

September 8, 2026

Hey trader, Energy leadership took the long weekend off with the rest of us. It clocked back in first thing this week and picked up right where it left off, sitting at the top of the leaderboard. Bulls should be uncomfortable with that. Energy leadership XLE is leading over one week, thirty days, year to date, and one year, which is a clean sweep of every timeframe that matters. Sweeps like that have a track record. The track record isn’t kind to anyone holding growth. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq put in a strong week and got almost nothing from market internals to back it up. Price has run out ahead of participation, and that gap always gets closed eventually. Over the next few minutes, I’ll show you why energy leadership is a late-cycle tell. There are four catalysts landing between Wednesday and next Wednesday that could flip this tape. We’ll look

	Today
09.00	Don Kaufman \| Pre-Market Prep \| FREE SESSION 09.20 09.30 Don Kaufman \| Early volatility 09.20 10.30 Jeff Bierman \| Market structure 10.30 11.30 Brandon Chapman \| Ghost Hour 11.30 12.30 Gianni Di Poce \| Macro overview 12.30 13.15 Elizabeth \| Price Action 13.15 14.00
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14.00	Corey Rosenbloom \| Options tactics 14.00 15.00
15.00	Blake Young \| Market wrap 15.00 16.00

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