Hello Trader,
This market is taking no prisoners.
Bears keep waiting for real downside follow-through that never materializes…but why?
Peek under the hood and you’ll see rotations accelerating fast.
Money isn’t leaving this market…It’s just moving.
I’ve already flagged the setups building in biotech and financials over the past few weeks. Both are still working.
However, my scans turned up another sector lining up for a serious stretch of outperformance.
And it matters more than most: consumer discretionary.
You see, it’s a core engine of the U.S. economy, and when it turns on, it tends to drag the broader market into full risk-on mode.
But isn’t the consumer struggling? I mean, with a fill up costing a mortgage payment these days, who has money for basic goods, let alone luxury items?
Maybe…just maybe…things aren’t what they seem.
The Buyers Just Keep Buying
Consumer spending makes up roughly 70% of the U.S. economy. These are the companies that live off play money, not necessities. Think travel, restaurants, retail, entertainment.
The top 10% of households now account for OVER HALF of all consumer spending.
This isn’t evenly distributed spending power. It’s concentrated, and it’s tied directly to asset prices.
So, stocks sitting near highs create the wealth effect for those richy rich folks.
Vacations, dining out, online shopping. The money comes in, the money goes out.
That’s where we want to focus.
A few things I’m watching right now that support this setup:
- Discretionary names showing relative strength versus staples, a classic risk-on tell
- Airlines and travel-related names quietly building bases
- Retail earnings reactions getting rewarded instead of faded
None of this is new, by the way.
Go back and look at prior mid-cycle corrections. Consumer discretionary has historically been one of the first sectors to snap back hard once the broader market stabilizes.
Drawdowns in this space tend to resolve fast, not linger.
Now, the Trinity Terminal is starting to pick up setups in this space too.
Nothing’s fully confirmed yet, but the early signs are lining up the same way they did before prior rotations into this sector.
The signal here hasn’t fully fired. But based on what I’m seeing name by name, it looks ready to go at any time.
I’ll keep tracking this for you and update you the moment it confirms.
Take Care,
Gianni Di Poce
