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3 Scenarios That Could Play Out in This Market

Hey trader, Yesterday I drew the line at 780 and showed you a market boxed in under a call wall at 775… …Price has gone…

Tuesday, August 11, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Lazy Summer Tape — Stay Patientby Tony Rago The tape has a lazy summer feel to it right now, and there’s no reason to force…

Hedgers Are Pricing A 10% Drop

https://youtu.be/BCC2mLhzw0U Brandon Chapman pulled up the volatility curve after today’s close. Three month VIX futures sit 22% above spot VIX. Spot VIX closed near 15…

The Stock You Cannot Afford To Sell

Hey Trader, One holding can grow large enough to run your life. You feel like you cannot afford to sell it. The account stops working…

Where SPY Goes From Here – One Level Tells Us

Hey trader, Just when everyone thought the bottom was going to drop out…whoosh…new all-time-highs. Pretty remarkable given the sentiment and geopolitical backdrop. But is this…

Surprise, Surprise – It Happened Again

Hey trader, Stocks ripped higher last week, with both the S&P and Dow soaring to new all-time highs. This came just days after another of…

Monday, August 10, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

New Week, New Opportunitiesby Tony Rago New week, new opportunities to make money! Bulls put together a strong performance last week, and now the big…

Growth Beat Defense In Every Sector This Week

The battle inside tech Something is happening under the surface of the technology trade and most people are still watching the wrong half of it….

I Said 770 Was The Line. We Popped Above It.

Hey trader, I told the room Thursday that 770 was going to be the line in the sand. Friday we popped above it instead… So…

I Was Right About The Trade And Still Lost It

I have made more money doing nothing than I have ever made doing something. That sounds like a bumper sticker until you sit down and…

The Unemployment Rate Went Down And That Is The Bad News

Labor force participation fell to 61.4%, a 5-year low. Here’s why that matters more than the unemployment rate right now….

Most Of What I Do Is Wait

Most of what I do is wait. Nobody gets into futures because they wanted to sit and watch a screen, so that is not the…

Why Trading Could Turn Erratic Next Week

https://youtu.be/GKeuDUuaBP4 The S&P moved 260 points this week against an expected move of 111. That is about 2.4 standard deviations outside what the options market…

I Will Never Roll A Losing Trade For A Debit

I will never roll a losing trade for a debit. Not when it feels right, not when the roll looks cheap, and not when I…

Open Interest Is The Glue That Holds A Market Together

Open interest is the glue that holds a market together. When an index trades in the same area for weeks, contracts pile up at those…

Friday, August 7, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Payrolls Put Bulls Back in Controlby Tony Rago Payroll numbers are out, and the market likes what it sees. Futures have pushed back above 7,762…

Bond Selloff Accelerating — Why Blake’s Looking Outside the US Now

https://youtu.be/GFtlVcRoFcU Two central banks are selling US Treasuries at the same time. Blake Young recorded this afternoon’s video on how to tell which one is…

I Paid $1.14 For A Put And Sold It For Six Bucks

  I paid $1.14 for a put and sold it for about six bucks. The company I owned had beaten on revenue. Sales came in…

Tomorrow Is Day 3 Of This Build

  Hey trader, Yesterday I told the room we might slip into a negative gamma structure today. We did. And the reason I could see…

911 million SpaceX shares unlocked today and it’s all BS

911 million SpaceX shares unlocked today and everybody is freaking out. It’s all BS. Let me walk you through why, because I’ve been on the…

3 Scenarios That Could Play Out in This Market
Tuesday, August 11, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook
Hedgers Are Pricing A 10% Drop
The Stock You Cannot Afford To Sell
Where SPY Goes From Here – One Level Tells Us
Surprise, Surprise – It Happened Again

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Don Kaufman

Don's Trading Desk

Market insights and trade ideas from former market maker Don Kaufman.

Brandon Chapman

First Mover Market Advantage

Spot institutional activity early and position ahead of the crowd before momentum takes off.

Gianni Di Poce

Sector Leader Bullseye​

Precision stock picks targeting high-probability breakout opportunities before they run.

Jeff Bierman

Man VS. Machines

A behind-the-scenes look at how AI-driven signals and human insight collide to uncover institutional edge.

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