Is a Severe Recession Imminent?

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-CPI and the 2 minute week
-Oil
-Bonds
-WMT, CSCO PANW, BABA, BIDU
-VIX is a broken metric
-SKEW high flyin’

SPX Expected Move –
-last week – 63.82 (5-day expected move)
-next week – 48.54 (3 1/2-day expected move)

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When I Parked Next to Bill Gross & Mohamed El-Erian


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Monday, August 31, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook
Why The Last Dime Costs the Most
The Exit That Saves You Before Your Stop Does
The Great Migration Out of Bonds
The Number Put Sellers Never Check

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