Are Markets Displaying Inefficient Behavior?

Expected Move Breeches!
–SPX
–IWM
–QQQ
–XLF
–XLE
–TLT

Rotation and Bifurcation comeback?

Are rising rates going to become an issue again?

Stress Test! Banks and Buybacks

Dollar reservations

Crypto cracks not proliferating…

Volatility Dropped but the “tail risk” is still wagging
–VVIX
–SKEW
–Back month premium

Front and Back Month Premium
–decay in the X-Mas Tree Ratio Spread

SPX Expected Move  
–last week– 90.48 (expected move)
–next week– 53.25

More from TheoTrade

Monday, October 5, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

What Stalled the Mag 7 Rally

3 Ways Falling Yields Can Repair Market Breadth

What an ATR Stop Loss Tells You Before a Good Trade Loses

Pause on the Bridge

The Sizing Rules That Could Save Your Account


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Monday, October 5, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook
What Stalled the Mag 7 Rally
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What an ATR Stop Loss Tells You Before a Good Trade Loses
Pause on the Bridge

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