Don Kaufman here. The island tried to kill me three times before lunch today. First, driving back from the house, I got stuck behind a truck dropping crap all over the road. Then a deer decided to commit suicide by jumping in front of my car. Finally, the first iguana I’ve seen since arriving appeared
You actually have single stock risk in owning the spiders. That’s not supposed to happen. Goes against everything you’ve been told about diversification, but here’s the math that’ll mess with your head. Google and NVIDIA combined? $8 trillion in market cap. Add them up and Google’s basically a $4 trillion company, NVIDIA’s $4.3 trillion. What’s
It’s Fed day. And I hope you’ll join me and Garrett Baldwin from 2PM-4PM EST for our LIVE Fed coverage. Everyone is welcome, members and non-members. CLICK HERE to add the event to your calendar. You can also CLICK HERE to join the event at 2PM. But let me give you a preview of what
Today reminded me why trading keeps you humble. I closed my Starbucks put spread for a 30% gain, and this morning everyone’s telling me I’m an idiot. “You should have waited, Don. Look, it’s down another 25 cents. You could have had 55% instead of 30%.” Yeah, well, I didn’t. And neither did you.
Don Kaufman here. Everyone’s betting on rate cuts saving the day. Fed cuts mean cheaper borrowing, right? I’m looking at the actual futures right now – the ZQ Fed funds where people bet real money – and they’re telling a completely different story. December Fed funds futures are pricing 3.7325%. Current rate’s 3.8775%. That’s
Don Kaufman here. I just shot my weekend market video, and one insight jumped out that could blindside tech traders next week. I identified a critical flaw in Bitcoin’s current structure that could trigger the next major tech selloff – and most traders have no idea it’s coming. One of the biggest issues in crypto
Don Kaufman here. I was on Trading 360 this morning, and honestly, this market feels “slop tastic” right now. Nothing matters – not financials, not energy, not retail. Nothing matters but tech. And we’re literally starting to see rotations within the tech sector itself. Everyone’s asking about a Santa rally into year-end. Here’s what I
Don Kaufman here. I’ve been up since way too early this morning, clearly over-caffeinated, and I just spent an hour doing math that’s going to keep me awake for the next week. All of healthcare equals one chip company. Every bank and oil company combined is smaller than Nvidia. You can fit five Walmart’s, into
Don Kaufman here. I’m watching people celebrate right now and it’s making me absolutely sick. You know what that Thanksgiving rally was? It wasn’t the market getting healthy. It was the most violent move I’ve seen in 15 years designed to do one thing – get dumb a**es back in the market right before they
Don Kaufman here. Happy Thanksgiving from someone who’s timed family visits better than most option spreads. Let me paint you the picture: My wife’s family flies in December 4th. My parents arrive December 5th. I fly out December 5th afternoon. There’s less than a 24-hour crossover period, and I’ve timed this very effectively. I can
