Toll Brothers is up 11% this year. Apple is only up 1%. You’re telling me Toll Brothers is better off than Apple? This is a home builder. With rates going up. Every home builder out there is like, “Yeah, with rates up like this, business sucks. Our margins absolutely suck. You should definitely not buy

Just wrapped my segment on Schwab’s Big 3 and something is seriously broken in this market. Here’s what should terrify you: 70 stocks in the S&P 100 are trading higher today. Yet the S&P is down. That’s not rotation. That’s panic. Fund managers can’t put money into the mega-cap tech that carried markets for two

You know what I was going over this morning in TheoTrade Chatroom while drinking my second Monster Energy? Something that would have completely confused newer traders – but it’s exactly how you spot major rotations before they become news. The S&P was selling off. Big tech getting crushed. But the advance/decline line? Getting better. Let

Holy crap. I’m sitting here on this island with my old computer that keeps freezing up on me, watching the S&P futures cycle through a hundred-point range overnight, and I just executed something that’s never been possible before. A Friday-to-Monday zero DTE butterfly. This didn’t exist until this week. Like, literally couldn’t be traded. And

I got to tell you something. While everyone’s celebrating the S&P hitting fresh all-time highs this week, I’m seeing warning signals that are making me want to hide under my desk and rock back and forth. The market finished “massively unchanged” after one of the wildest weeks we’ve had in months. But here’s what nobody’s

Well, the first thing I would say is I’m already past the Fed. I mean, the Fed is not that consequential. We have $10 trillion of market cap releasing earnings in the next 48 hours. That’s where my focus happens to be. Just wrapped my segment on Schwab’s Big 3 and dropped three trades that

Silver just posted its largest single-day percentage move in modern history. If you think that’s bullish, you’re about to get destroyed. Look, I get it. Everyone’s celebrating this moonshot like it’s Christmas morning. Silver rockets from 102 to 117, then pukes back down – people were “puking their guts out in the street,” and somehow

Let me start with a simple question: Do you know the actual odds of your last options trade making money? Not the fake “probability of profit” your trading platform shows you. Not your gut feeling about market direction.  The real mathematical probability that accounts for time decay, volatility changes, and the bid-ask spread that eats

  Alright, so on January 26th it all goes down…but nobody’s talking about what this actually means.  Tesla, Apple, NVIDIA, all these trillion-dollar names just got zero DTE three times a week instead of once. You think last Friday was nuts with Meta jumping eight bucks in seconds? That was one expiration day. Now it’s

Look, when my buddy Frank first watched retail clients trade S&P futures back in the day, he said they looked like they were “juggling chocolate covered hand grenades.”  I’ve used that line ever since because it perfectly captures what happens when you give powerful tools to people who don’t respect the explosive potential. Well, starting