Peter Thiel dumped his entire NVIDIA position last weekend. All of it. His macro fund liquidated 537,742 shares worth over $100 million during the third quarter. The 13-F filing hit the wires this past weekend. Ten days earlier, SoftBank bailed on $8.5 billion in NVIDIA holdings. Two massive exits in two weeks from billionaire investors
I started grading exams at three in the morning Tuesday. Forty-nine students. Corporate finance midterms. Questions about capital budgeting. Breakeven analysis. Degree of operating leverage. Most of them got it right. The math, anyway. The formulas. The technical mechanics of how businesses calculate risk and return. But sitting there at my desk before sunrise, I
You’ll get one day to exit when this breaks. One massive down day where everyone tries to sell at once. No bounce after…No recovery…No second chance. Just a straight drop through every support level while you watch your positions bleed out with no bid. That’s not fear mongering. That’s mechanical market behavior that plays out
The S&P just touched 6,800. New all-time highs. Everyone’s celebrating. But pull up the daily chart and look at what’s actually happening. The market isn’t climbing. It’s dancing. Tippy-toeing on razor-thin candles that barely touch each dip before bouncing higher. This is what traders call “trip the light fantastic.” Dancing nimbly on your toes. Fred
The market hasn’t corrected in six months despite every reason it should. That’s not bullish strength. That’s algorithmic defense. Right now, the algos are watching three specific thresholds holding this entire structure together. When all three break simultaneously, it won’t be a gentle decline…it’ll be a freefall. Today I’m showing you exactly which lines matter
You know all those price-based indicators everyone loves… Moving averages… RSI…MACD crossovers… Support and resistance… They’re all WORTHLESS right now. Only one actually matters, and here’s why. The market isn’t trading on price discovery anymore. It’s trading on basket buying that props the index up, regardless of fundamentals. Money flows into S&P components automatically. Window
My neighbor runs several small businesses in Chicago. Good guy. Really good friend. We text all day long. Yesterday, he told me something terrifying. He’s been talking to his friends who own small businesses: cleaning, plumbing, real estate… They’re all saying the same thing: This is the last year they can keep prices contained. As
I take my daughter to the dojo three nights a week. Monday, Tuesday, Thursday. Karate lessons. She’s twelve now and getting serious about it. The sensei is a stud. Six foot four. Second degree black belt. Great guy. Really knows his stuff. Every month they give the kids a word to learn. A principle to
Block reported earnings yesterday…and CRUSHED it: Fifty-four cents per share against a 25-cent estimate. The stock dropped 17%. You might think that’s irrational. I’m telling you it’s the most rational thing the market has done in months. Everyone celebrates the beat…The algorithms are reading something else entirely. They’re measuring transaction volume. Payment processing velocity. Consumer
The Fed’s quarterly interest payments just went vertical. Not rising steadily. Vertical. Logarithmic. The kind of exponential curve that appears right before systems break. Since 2008, their debt service has compounded at rates that would bankrupt any private company. But the Fed isn’t a private company. They can print money to service debt…until suddenly they
