Retirement Traders Have an Opportunity in the CPI Data

Alright folks, let’s clear the smoke on this one—the CPI print came in soft, and Wall Street threw a little party. But before you start popping champagne corks, let’s get something straight: this “disinflation” doesn’t mean inflation’s gone. It means inflation’s slower. The car’s still moving, we’ve just eased off the gas a bit. Now, let me walk you through what I’m seeing from both a trading and macro perspective…  We had ES futures trade beautifully off that monkey bar level. Target was 60/40 – bang on. I don’t say that for the ego boost, I say it because it’s tied to real structure, not hype. That rally into 60/60? That wasn’t random. Volume flipped bullish, price moved accordingly, and we got a textbook reversal setup with a bearish divergence right where we expected. But the bigger story here is inflation. Yeah, CPI dropped from 0.2% to 0.1% month-over-month. Sure,

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Reading the Market’s Battle Lines Before the Break

  You know what gets me? It’s not just when the market misbehaves,it’s when it whispers its plan, and we choose not to listen. We’re talking about zones, people. Overbought. Oversold. Defense lines on your charts where buyers and sellers dig in, plant flags, and start hurling their strategies at each other like it’s Thermopylae. And if you’re not watching for those signals,well, you’re stepping onto the field without armor. Case in point: Apple. Just look at it. Overbought for a week straight, and every time the bulls tried to push through 203.90, the bears met them with a wall of shadow. Not opinion,just chart. That’s six straight candles where the sellers said, “Not today.” You can love the company, hold their stock in your IRA, even use their products every day, but if you’re trading, forget all that. Trade the chart. Here’s what I mean…  Now I’m not saying

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Rain Drops Keep Fallin’ on My Head

Rain Drops Keep Fallin’ on My Head by Blake Young As I alluded to last week, this past weekend I was in Southern Utah and went to Grafton Ghost Town at an extended family reunion. The Grafton Ghost town is not where Butch Cassidy lived but was one of the locations where Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid was filmed. My younger brother and I even took the chance to recreate the “Raindrops Keep Fallin’ on My Head” bicycle scene. A good time was had by all. As fun as it was, I want to talk about a scene in the movie where Butch and Sundance were being tracked and chased to a cliffs edge where they had to decide to fight it out and possibly die or go to prison or jump and swim.  Here’s how it played out…  Butch: [looking into the deep canyon and the river far below] No,

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How Retirement Savers Can Hang Tough in Ridiculous Markets

It’s getting absurd out there. I start my mornings with my shoulders slumped and a groan, not because I dislike trading, but because I know I’m walking into another day where markets swing violently over… a phone call. Not the content of the call, mind you, just the announcement that it might happen. Today, copper rockets three percent and the S&P futures jump, all because someone might say words into a phone. That’s where we are. This is the environment we have to trade in. Let’s be clear: I’m not just mocking the reaction. I’m frustrated because I’m trying to hold legitimate, structurally sound positions, and instead I’m managing chaos. We see copper – “Dr. Copper,” the eternally reliable indicator of real global growth – behaving like a meme stock. That’s not growth. That’s noise. A three-and-a-half percent move in copper before the market even opens? That’s not fundamental, that’s

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Bonds Are on the Brink – Here’s the Turning Point

  I’ve been waiting for this moment. Not impatiently, but with the kind of disciplined anticipation that any serious trader understands. Bonds may finally be giving us the signal we’ve been hunting for, and if the price action confirms what the data hinted at this morning, we could be at the edge of a pivotal move. The ADP payroll numbers came in significantly weaker than expected. Now, I don’t put blind faith in government data; it’s massaged, it’s manipulated, and frankly, most of it is fiction. But I don’t trade beliefs; I trade reality. And like it or not, this is the fiction the market reacts to. Today, that fiction tells a story of economic softening, and that’s exactly what bond bulls have been waiting for. Let’s be clear: we are not in a booming labor market. The cracks have been forming for months, but this morning they became harder

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Retirement Traders: Make Sure You’re Using Monkey Bars the Right Way

I’ll pound the table about this all day: People working and saving toward retirement have to be active traders. If you’re leaving your nest egg at the mercy of a money manager, you could be missing out. I’m not saying you have to be glued to your screen all day, but it’s important to stay involved.  One of the ways you can make your trading easier – and potentially more profitable – is by using “monkey bars.” They’re a great way to make sure you’re aligned with the trend and trading on the right track. I like to set mine up on a weekly and monthly basis, and, well, this being early June, it’s a good time to sketch some broad strokes and get you started. Every time I walk traders through the monkey bars, I see the same thing: folks want the tool to tell them what to trade, instead of

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I Always Use This Pattern to Catch Trends

  Markets are noisy. Most traders lose not because they lack intelligence, but because they get caught up in the chatter – economic forecasts, financial headlines, analyst upgrades, Fed whispers. But if you strip all that away and just read the chart, there’s one pattern that cuts through the noise every time: the two-candle trend. Not two days. Two candles. This is structure. It’s not theory but behavior. When price puts in a pivot high and follows with a higher high, or prints a low and follows with a lower low, you’ve got your trend. Confirmation through action. The two-candle trend is elegant, reliable, and applicable across any timeframe, any asset class, any market condition. I don’t care if you’re looking at SPY, Tesla, crude oil, or Bitcoin, this principle holds. Why? Because it’s not about the ticker.  It’s about buyers and sellers revealing their intent. One candle doesn’t tell

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Risk Is the Real Retirement Killer—Use Options to Control It

If you’re trading your retirement portfolio, let me give it to you straight: the biggest threat isn’t missing out on a hot stock—it’s taking on more risk than you realize. At this stage, it’s not about maximizing return. It’s about preserving the engine that keeps your income running. That’s why every strategy I use, and teach, starts with one principle: define your risk first. There are options strategies that give you the best shot at staying in the game without blowing up your retirement. You want tools that allow you to participate in the upside while protecting the downside. The good news is, there are smart, structured ways to do that… Let’s start with the big umbrella: defined risk strategies. That means you know exactly how much you can lose before you ever put the trade on. We’re talking about long calls and puts, verticals, credit and debit spreads, calendars,

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When the Smartest Move Is Not to Play

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: the market doesn’t owe you a trade. Right now, we’re in one of those stretches where the smartest move isn’t getting aggressive, it’s sitting tight and letting the picture come into focus. That’s not passivity. That’s discipline. And it’s doubly important for retirement traders and investors. Smart traders in standby mode, not because there’s nothing happening, but because the signals aren’t clean yet. Volume’s low and divergences are cropping up in a few spots, and while we’ve had some flashy moves, they’re not convincing enough to go all-in either way. Until we get confirmation—real confirmation, like money flow validating the trend or stochastic divergences breaking with authority—I’m treating this as a rangebound environment. That means mean-reversion setups get my attention, not breakout chases. It’s the kind of market where impulsive traders get chopped up. You think you’re early to a move,

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This Weekly Watchlist Is the Best of Slim Pickings

This Weekly Watchlist Is the Best of Slim Pickings With all the volatility and relentless selloffs, it’s a little surprising not to see more aggressive trade signals right now. Scanning over 2,000 stocks using my methodology, only eight candidates meet the criteria – and not all are worth pursuing. That says a lot about today’s cautious landscape, especially for retirement savers seeking both protection and opportunity. There were eight stocks, but I’ve picked the best three to look at…  Of the current setups, Verizon (VZ), Kinder Morgan KMI, and Amgen (AMGN) stand out: VZ is breaking out of a short-term bull flag and through a key Monkeybar level today. I’m targeting $47.30 in the next 10 days — a potential 7% return or better. However, volume is light. For greater conviction, wait for at least average volume on an up candle before entering. KMI mirrors VZ’s bullish price pattern and

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