It’s Too Late to Chase Energy, Do This Instead

Hey trader, Stocks kept correcting last week. It has been almost two months since the Nasdaq and S&P 500 last printed new all-time highs. Pessimism is climbing because the logical reasons for a pullback keep stacking up. Markets have never paid much attention to logic. Big tech earnings continue this week. Fed Chair Warsh also holds his second press conference. Layer in escalating geopolitical tensions, and the bearish laundry list writes itself. Here is what I want to hand you today: I’ll show you why energy’s grip on the leaderboard is closer to its expiration date than its starting line. We’ll also take a look at where I’d rather commit capital while the crowd piles into the obvious trade. Is Energy Refueling or Running on E? Performance Leader 1-week 30-day YTD 1-year Sector Energy (XLE) Energy (XLE) Energy (XLE) Energy (XLE) A clean sweep on the Sector Leader Bullseye leaderboard.

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The 10 Stocks That Decide This Bull Market

Hello Trader, Markets are tense right now. Between geopolitical escalations, AI capex concerns, earnings, and inflation, there are plenty of reasons for traders to be on edge. While it’s showing up in the tape, people keep glossing over the greatest source of weakness… …I’m talking about mega-caps. 10 stocks make up over 40% of the S&P 500. If you include SpaceX, that figure climbs even higher. Owning an index fund means you’re heavily exposed to those 10 names whether you like or not. Their problems become your problems. When they wobble, your portfolio wobbles with them. Yet, most folks don’t realize they carry that much risk nor appreciate the magnitude. Ironically, it’s also where the next opportunity is hiding. That probably sounds ludicrous until you see this chart and the key level that changes everything. The Concentration Cuts Both Ways Take a look at this ratio chart between the Magnificent

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Bears Take Center Stage

Hey trader, The tape flipped hard last week. Stocks closed near the lows with tech and the Nasdaq dragging everything lower. This is the first time these signals have flashed together since the start of the year. That earlier signal led to a multi-week, double-digit pullback in the Nasdaq. This setup deserves your attention. By the end of this, you’ll know whether it points to something ugly or plain old rotation. You’ll also know exactly where I’m hunting for the next entry. New leadership is stepping in, so let’s break down what it actually means. Rise-Off Sectors Rise – For Now Performance Leader 1-week 30-day YTD 1-year Sector Energy (XLE) Healthcare (XLV) Energy (XLE) Energy (XLE) Energy ran the table last week. It was the strongest sector for the second week in a row. Energy rallied so hard it overtook technology both year-to-date and over the past twelve months. Tech

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Chopping Is Not Topping

Hey trader, The market has ground sideways for weeks. The crash callers think they finally caught the top. Every YouTube short in my feed is promising a 50% collapse. That noise always gets loudest right as a cycle runs out of time. Here is what you will walk away with. You will see the exact zone where I expect this low, which sector I expect to lead the next rally, and why falling oil and falling rates set the table for it. Let me show you why this grind is a gift. A Correction Through Time We are 15 weeks into the rally from March. It’s mature, no doubt, but at the same time, the window for a low is open right now. Prices have not collapsed. his is a correction through time. The tape is resting after a long run. Sideways chop drains the energy out of an overheated

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A Wake Up Call for Bulls

Hey trader, Stocks staged a nice comeback going into the weekend. By Friday’s close, the S&P futures hit their highest weekly level in history. That’s breakout mode, technically speaking. Don’t be surprised if new all-time highs start printing in the S&P soon. Here’s why that matters for your week ahead… New highs are only half the story. The other half is who shows up to lead the charge, and last week’s internals are flashing a warning that bulls need to see. The Nasdaq grabbed the biggest bid out of the large cap indices last week. That’s a good sign on the surface. But the real test comes from leadership. Based on what we saw internally last week, bulls still have work to do before I’m ready to call this clean. I’ve watched this movie before. Breakouts without the right sectors leading tend to fail fast, and I’ll show you exactly

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Another Sector Ripe for Rotation

Hello Trader, This market is taking no prisoners. Bears keep waiting for real downside follow-through that never materializes…but why? Peek under the hood and you’ll see rotations accelerating fast. Money isn’t leaving this market…It’s just moving. I’ve already flagged the setups building in biotech and financials over the past few weeks. Both are still working. However, my scans turned up another sector lining up for a serious stretch of outperformance. And it matters more than most: consumer discretionary. You see, it’s a core engine of the U.S. economy, and when it turns on, it tends to drag the broader market into full risk-on mode. But isn’t the consumer struggling? I mean, with a fill up costing a mortgage payment these days, who has money for basic goods, let alone luxury items? Maybe…just maybe…things aren’t what they seem. The Buyers Just Keep Buying Consumer spending makes up roughly 70% of the

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The Rally’s Next Phase Has Begun

Hey trader, Last week broke the usual holiday pattern. The indices moved in completely different directions from one another. Sector rotation accelerated faster than I expected. That shift is the entire story heading into this week. Stick with me and you’ll see where the next leg of this rally is coming from. It runs straight through the market’s second-largest sector. Tech is catching its breath in the near-term. The crowd is finally waking up to how big the coming move in healthcare and biotech could be. The headline last week was a heavyweight sector roaring back to life. Here’s how the leaderboard stacks up. The Long-Awaited Rotation Performance Leader 1-week 30-day YTD 1-year Sector Financials (XLF) Healthcare (XLV) Technology (XLK) Technology (XLK) Tech has lost some of its mojo here in the near-term. The primary culprit for the drop in Tech has lost a little of its mojo lately. The

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The “Lag Seven” Just Made Everyone Look Silly

Hey trader, A week ago the crowd hung a fresh insult on the biggest stocks in the market. They called them the Lag Seven. A few got nastier. Bag Seven, they said, as in you are the sucker left holding the bag. Now those same stocks are ripping. Meta alone ran 60 dollars in one session. I called this bid nearly two months ago. It is finally paying off. Let me walk you through which laggards are turning first, why the timing lines up, and the three moves I am making now that the new quarter is here. Why Everyone Gave Up At The Worst Time The Mag Seven topped in mid-May. They bled for weeks while the rest of the market kept climbing. That handed us something you rarely see. Around 40% of the S&P 500 got hammered for six weeks straight. The index would not break. Read that

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A New Era for AI

Hey trader, Q2 ends in just a couple of days. It’s been one of the better quarters I’ve seen in a while. I’m wrapping everything up and laying out my thoughts for Q3 in today’s Quarterly Forecast session with the Trinity Trade at 2:30PM Eastern. If you haven’t registered yet, now is the time. Coming into Q2, my emphasis was simple: stock market rebound, leadership in tech. That played out exactly as expected. But the rally is now three months old. Last week’s price action confirmed that a major regime change is underway. If you’ve been following along, this won’t shock you. Let’s talk about where the next big setup is forming. AI Goes Kinetic Performance Leader 1-week 30-day YTD 1-year Sector Healthcare (XLV) Healthcare (XLV) Technology (XLK) Technology (XLK) The top-performing sector in the S&P 500 last week was healthcare. And it wasn’t close. XLV printed an epic breakout.

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Where to Put Your Money to Work Next

Hello Trader, Financial media NEEDS to pin the volatility on something… …geopolitics…quarterly rebalancing…seasonality…pick your boogeyman. I pay attention to something simpler: where the money actually flows. You see, every dollar sold means that dollar gets put to work somewhere else, whether it’s in your trading account or, more often, another stock. This week, I want to show you where that capital is rotating right now. And it’s probably not where you think. By the end of this, you’ll know which sectors I like (biotech), and more importantly, why the next leg of the AI trade is already underway. Since late March, one sector owned the tape. That sector was technology. We rode it hard. It delivered. Lately, I have been flagging something new: Biotech. If you have been following along, the chaos in the indices barely touched you. The reason comes down to where AI goes next. Its frontier reaches

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