Fear or Embrace the Rally?

Market Risk Factors–

-bank earnings excellent, will tech and retail fair as well? (supply chain)

-oil and energy pricing at extremes

-bonds/rates continue to be threatening factor

-FED tapering is coming

-dollar backs off nominally

-massive volatility crush but only in the near term!

-SKEW coming back

Trading —

-buy volatility when you can!

-long is not wrong but use spreads

-volatility crush will not kill options premium selling as skew comes back into play

SPX Expected Move

–last week– 80.10  (expected move)

–next week– 61.46

More from TheoTrade

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Monday, September 14, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook


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