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Oil, Inflation, Geopolitical Risk have Markets Bottomed?

Fun with the FOMC-
-FED- we have liftoff, a .25 point and more to come
-Treasury Yield Curve has issues
-Who wants to fight the FED?

Risks on the Horizon-
-Volatility contango is back but far from “normal”
-Dollar still bid
-Oil has a bid back
-Inflation is out of control – retail negative implications
-Quintessential Rip your face off rally

Geopolitics—
-Damage already inflicted
-War ends sanctions will not dissipate

Trade Setups-
-Gold
-Risk reward SP500 following the rally
-Premium selling

SPX Expected Move —
–last week — 144.35 (expected move)
–next week– 106.19 (expected move)

Don Kaufman

Don Kaufman is options trader and educator. Former CBOE market maker, former Chief Derivatives Instructor at thinkorswim, and former Director of the Trader Group at TD Ameritrade. In 2015 he co-founded TheoTrade to teach traders how volatility, probability, and risk really work.

More about Don Kaufman

	Today
09.00	Don Kaufman \| Pre-Market Prep \| FREE SESSION 09.20 09.30 Don Kaufman \| Early volatility 09.20 10.30
09.30
10.00
10.30	Jeff Bierman \| Market structure 10.30 11.30
11.00	Jeff Bierman \| Market structure 10.30 11.30
11.30	Brandon Chapman \| Ghost Hour 11.30 12.30
12.00	Brandon Chapman \| Ghost Hour 11.30 12.30
12.30	Gianni Di Poce \| Macro overview 12.30 13.15 Elizabeth \| Price Action 13.15 14.00
13.00
13.30
14.00	Corey Rosenbloom \| Options tactics 14.00 15.00
14.30	Corey Rosenbloom \| Options tactics 14.00 15.00
15.00	Blake Young \| Market wrap 15.00 16.00
15.30	Blake Young \| Market wrap 15.00 16.00