Thursday, February 12, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Massive Ranges, Clear Focus
by Tony Rago

We’re sitting in a pure consolidation tape, but don’t mistake that for small moves. Yesterday we pushed to a new weekly high on the jobs reaction, then saw full liquidation all the way down to 6,933 on ES — and now we’re right back pressing 6,988 into the 7,000 area. That’s a massive two-way stretch. NQ is printing 300–500 point intraday ranges, which tells you everything about the environment: volatility is elevated, positioning is active, and levels matter. This morning I’m watching 7,000 on ES and 25,412 on NQ as resistance — areas that need to convert if buyers want continuation. On the downside, 6,942 and 25,250 are the supports that have to hold to maintain balance.

When ranges expand like this, the temptation is to predict the breakout. Don’t. In a wide consolidation zone, guessing direction is expensive — reacting to structure is profitable. Trade what you see, not what you think should happen. Let the open establish tone, watch how price behaves at those key levels, and stay disciplined inside the range until it proves otherwise. Big zones require patience and precision. Let’s see how we open and get after it. 💪

👉 Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook. Check it out here and trade it smart.


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