Wednesday, July 1, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Fed Chair Takes Center Stage
by Tony Rago

Today is all about the Fed Chair’s speech at the open. Expect elevated volatility, sharp swings, and plenty of headline-driven reactions as traders digest every word. Sessions like this can create tremendous opportunity, but only for those who stay patient enough to let the market reveal its hand. My plan is to let the initial reaction play out before getting involved. Chasing the first move on a Fed-driven day is rarely the highest-probability trade. I’d much rather trade the fallout once the dust settles and the market begins to establish direction.

Today’s expected ranges are significantly larger than normal, so risk management needs to be front and center. Don’t get caught up trying to capture every move or forcing trades in the middle of the noise. There will be plenty of opportunity throughout the session once cleaner setups develop. Stay disciplined, stick to your trading plan, and let your rules—not your emotions—guide your decisions. The traders who protect their capital on days like this are usually the ones still standing when the best opportunities finally appear.

👉 Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook.

Check it out here and trade it smart.

Until next time,
Tony

More from TheoTrade

How My Spreads Beat 50/50 Odds

Where Global Money Goes After The Fed Pauses

How Often Your Spread Has To Win

The Backup Plan Behind Your Stop Loss

The Only Times I Move My Stop Loss

The Rotation Out of Semiconductors And Into…


Most Recent

How My Spreads Beat 50/50 Odds
Where Global Money Goes After The Fed Pauses
How Often Your Spread Has To Win
The Backup Plan Behind Your Stop Loss
The Only Times I Move My Stop Loss

Get educational market insights sent right to your inbox.

As Seen In