One of the most surprising parts of the results is this: 435 winning trades and 434 losing trades. Almost a 50/50 win rate. And yet, the system still produced over $13,000 in net profit on a $5,000 account. Why? Because the winners were consistently larger than the losers. That's the entire edge—risk control, not prediction. → See how risk and reward are structured on every trade.

Will the Snap Back Market Rally Hold?

Index and Sector Updates–
–finished the week higher
–volatility structure – leaves us in limbo
–Bond buyers
–Dollar hedge
–hedge that shifted the markets
–Assessment-markets priced in Ukrainian conflict

Pricing Pressure Moving Forward–
–Hawkish FED tone
–more inflationary data
–hedges largely removed
–financials vulnerable

SPX Expected Move —
–last week — 121.28 (four day trading week)
–next week– 126.21 (expected move)

Don Kaufman

Don Kaufman is options trader and educator. Former CBOE market maker, former Chief Derivatives Instructor at thinkorswim, and former Director of the Trader Group at TD Ameritrade. In 2015 he co-founded TheoTrade to teach traders how volatility, probability, and risk really work.

More about Don Kaufman

	Today
08.30	OJ & Mac \| Overnight review \| FREE SESSION 08.30 09.20 Don Kaufman \| Early volatility 09.20 10.30
09.00
09.30
10.00
10.30	Jeff Bierman \| Market structure 10.30 11.30
11.00	Jeff Bierman \| Market structure 10.30 11.30
11.30	Brandon Chapman \| Ghost Hour 11.30 12.30
12.00	Brandon Chapman \| Ghost Hour 11.30 12.30
12.30	Gianni Di Poce \| Macro overview 12.30 13.15 Corey Rosenbloom \| Options tactics 13.15 14.00
13.00
13.30
14.00	Tony Rago \| Futures Trading 14.00 15.00
14.30	Tony Rago \| Futures Trading 14.00 15.00
15.00	Blake Young & Mac Holbrook \| Market wrap 15.00 16.00
15.30	Blake Young & Mac Holbrook \| Market wrap 15.00 16.00