Don Kaufman here.
Look, I don’t care that the S&P bounced. I don’t care that the Nasdaq had a nice little rally today. You want to know what I’m watching? Volatility.
VIX refuses to contract. Volatility futures aren’t behaving like they should in a “recovery.” That’s screaming one thing: don’t get out from under your desk yet. Keep the helmet on.
I just laid out three trades on Schwab’s Big 3 that go against everything Wall Street’s telling you right now. While everyone’s celebrating this bounce, I’m seeing cracks that most traders are completely missing.
Trade #1: The Pumpkin Spice Contrarian Play
Yeah, I’m actually bullish on something for once. And it’s probably not what you think.
Trade #2: The Crypto Warning Nobody Wants to Hear
Bitcoin’s threatening a level that could get serious in a hurry. Same people trading this high-beta crypto volatility? They’re the same ones in the AI trade. Spillover’s coming.
Trade #3: Taking the Other Side of Google’s AI Hype
Everyone’s drunk on that 30% year-to-date return. I’m looking at where they actually make money – and it’s not what you think.
Here’s the thing: when the S&P recovers but crypto doesn’t follow, when volatility stays elevated despite the bounce – that’s not bullish divergence. That’s a warning.
I gave myself plenty of time on these trades. December, January expirations. Because when this two-sided, wild and wooly action really kicks in, you’re going to want to be positioned right.
WATCH THE FULL BIG 3 BREAKDOWN – Get the exact strikes, spreads, and reasoning behind each contrarian position.
The market’s telling you one story. The real data’s telling you something completely different.
Don’t say I didn’t warn you.
To your success,
Don Kaufman
P.S. I’m cutting checks to people for $500. And it all starts tomorrow…click here to find out how to qualify.
