Gianni Di Poce, Author at TheoTrade

The Next Rotation Within the AI Trade

May 9, 2026

Hey Trader, Everyone is staring at semiconductors right now. The chip rally has been historic, and I get the obsession. But there is another piece of the AI trade quietly setting up for its next leg higher. Almost nobody is talking about it. In the next two minutes, I will show you the sector, the exact chart pattern flashing on my screen, and why this rotation has real fundamental legs behind it. The Setup On the Chart Take a look at this weekly chart in the URA ETF. The sector is nuclear and uranium stocks. URA topped back in January. Instead of breaking down, it corrected and printed another higher low in late March, right in line with the longer-term trend. Zoom out further. The sector has essentially gone nowhere since October. That sideways grind is what builds the next leg higher. It is a textbook cup and handle, and

Everyday Is A New Generational Buying Opportunity

May 6, 2026

The pause everyone has been waiting for is not coming. April 2026 was the second-strongest April in S&P 500 history. The only stronger one was April 2020, and everyone was a genius then because the market ripped off the COVID lows and anyone with cash on the books got carried higher whether they understood it or not. And this time around? Bullish advisors are near the lows, while the market is defying gravity. That is exactly the setup for what I call a lockout rally. A lockout rally is a relentless upward move that leaves sidelined investors waiting for a pullback that never comes. High momentum, shallow dips, and the price action literally locks out traders who sold early or failed to buy when the risk-reward was extremely favorable. Standard technical indicators scream overbought and stay that way for weeks until the last skeptics finally capitulate and chase at much

The $100 Problem Nobody’s Talking About

May 4, 2026

Hey trader, Tech vs. energy is the only thing that matters this week. That’s the whole game. If you only read one sentence of this newsletter, make it that one. Here’s why it matters, and exactly what to watch. The Setup Nobody’s Pricing In Performance Leader 1-week 30-day YTD 1-year Sector Energy (XLE) Technology (XLK) Energy (XLE) Technology (XLK) Last week, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 printed fresh all-time highs. Mega-cap earnings delivered, and the market finally admitted that earnings growth matters more than geopolitical headlines. But the celebration came with a catch. Energy was the top-performing sector last week. Crude oil is still parked around $100 per barrel. That combination is the most important story in the market right now. Why $100 Crude Changes Everything The longer oil stays elevated, the better it is for energy stocks. Simple enough. But here’s the catch. Elevated oil quietly chews away at

Inflation Is Bullish For The Dollar

May 2, 2026

Hey trader, Something frustrates me when I watch other traders work. They keep running a playbook from a market that died five years ago. Then they wonder why nothing makes sense. Nowhere shows this more clearly than the dollar, oil, and interest rates. The textbook relationship between these three got rewritten this decade. Most traders never got the memo. It has been quietly costing them money for years. In this article, you will see why the dollar now rallies with crude. I will show you what that signals about the next decade of inflation. And you will walk away with three position adjustments to make this week. Why The Old Framework Broke For nearly forty years, the textbook relationship was simple. A falling dollar pushed oil higher. A rising dollar pushed oil lower. Interest rates moved in the opposite direction of the dollar to stabilize whichever side of the trade

This Morning’s Selloff Is a Gift

April 28, 2026

This morning’s selloff is a gift. The average intra-year drawdown of the S&P 500 is negative 14 percent. That means on average, every single year, the market falls 14 percent from its peak at some point before recovering and closing higher. Like clockwork. So don’t get bent up about it or view it as a warning sign. It’s the normal price of admission. The Nasdaq hit that range during the pullback we just went through. Alot of people sold…and then they chased the move back up. Feeling they missed the move, they got agressive buying calls into earnings season. However, with today’s sell-off in tech, they are second-guessing themselves again. Just take a deep breath and stop being so EMO. What we know is a single report dropped at 9 pm last night saying OpenAI missed its own revenue targets. So, everything connected to OpenAI is lower today because of

Tech’s Outperformance Was Yesterday’s News

April 27, 2026

Hey trader, By the time a trade makes the financial headlines, most traders assume the move is over. This week, tech and semiconductors are everywhere. That timing is worth understanding before you make any decisions. I flagged tech’s leadership in the Sector Bullseye Leaderboard weeks ago. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 are now at fresh all-time highs. The media has caught up. Historically, that is not the signal to exit. When institutional positioning and price action lead the narrative, the move tends to have further to run once the crowd arrives. The real question is what the data says about the remaining runway. Here is what the Sector Bullseye Leaderboard is showing right now, why semiconductors matter more than the headlines suggest, and how I’m positioned heading into mega-cap earnings week. The Decisive Bullish Blow Performance Leader 1-week 30-day YTD 1-year Sector Technology (XLK) Technology (XLK) Energy (XLE) Technology (XLK)

The Crude Oil Conundrum

April 25, 2026

Hello Trader, The Nasdaq and S&P 500 printed another week of fresh all-time highs. Semiconductors keep stealing the show, which won’t surprise anyone following the Sector Leader Bullseye. Market internals look healthy. Surface action looks healthy. One asset class keeps me cautious before I fall asleep at night. The culprit is crude oil. This note lays out why crude is the single biggest wildcard for stocks right now. You’ll see when I expect it to roll over and how I’m positioned while that plays out. Get this variable right, and you’ll understand why the bull trend holds into the back half of the year. You’ll also see the window where the real volatility setups appear later on. Why Oil Is the Real Risk As long as crude is not breaking down, stocks stay vulnerable to sudden bursts in volatility. That dynamic played out multiple times last week. Oil is the

Bears Get Bulldozed

April 20, 2026

Hey trader, Stocks exploded to fresh all-time highs last week and confirmed that the bull market is alive and well. We are still waiting on the Dow to join the party. Based on how this tape is moving, that invitation is already in the mail. The speed and magnitude of this rally has put the market in record-setting territory. The best part is that it is happening against a negative geopolitical backdrop. A tape that rallies on bad news is telling you exactly how strong it really is. The headlines keep pushing fear, while the internals keep compounding in favor of the bulls. One of those two stories is wrong. If I had to guess, this market is also pricing in a blockbuster earnings season. Here is what sector leadership is telling me, where the real money is flowing, and how I am positioning into the next few weeks. Growth

Bears Get Bulldozed

April 20, 2026

The Real Relationship Between Sentiment and Price

April 18, 2026

Hey trader, Stocks just ripped to fresh all-time highs. The bears are livid. Every perma-bear who called for a crash is now scrambling to explain themselves. But the signs of this rally were flashing for weeks before the headlines caught up. Now we are seeing stories about ceasefires, de-escalations, and oil flowing freely through the Strait of Hormuz again. The narrative has finally aligned with what the tape has been saying all along. I have watched this script play out hundreds of times in my career. The plot never changes. The ultimate truth in trading is simple. Sentiment follows price, not the other way around. Here is how I saw this coming, what the internals are screaming now, and why the bears are about to get run over again. The Signs Were There All Along Oil topped out over a month ago. That was the first major tell. Crude

	Today
08.00	OJ & Mac \| Overnight review \| FREE SESSION 08.30 09.20 Don Kaufman \| Early volatility 09.20 10.30 Jeff Bierman \| Market structure 10.30 11.30 Brandon Chapman \| Ghost Hour 11.30 12.30 Gianni Di Poce \| Macro overview 12.30 13.15 Corey Rosenbloom \| Options tactics 13.15 14.00
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14.00	Tony Rago \| Futures Trading 14.00 15.00
15.00	Blake Young & Mac Holbrook \| Market wrap 15.00 16.00

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