Trading Inside the Big Reversalby Tony Rago New week, new chances to make money. Price is still stuck inside Friday’s big reversal bar off the all-time highs, so the playbook is simple: trade the range inside it — or jump on the breakout/breakdown when it comes. We’ve got econ lined up later this week that should inject some volatility, so today might start off slower. I’ll be letting price settle at the open, watching where the ranges print, and taking it from there. Keep it simple, trade what’s in front of you, and let’s get this week started right. Full breakdown is in today’s Pre-Market Playbook. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Monday%2C%20September%208%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-09082025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

I received an email this week from a Theo member and Mastermind student that stopped me in my tracks: “Hi Tony: I saw about 10 26-33’s today, maybe it would be possible to only trade this setup? Your thoughts? Thanks” This trader is seeing it!  He’s recognizing that there’s a repeatable pattern, and it truly might be the only setup he needs. The Revelation Hidden in Plain Sight Look at the chart above.  What you’re seeing isn’t random market noise or lucky coincidences.  Those are systematic, repeatable patterns that show up day after day, setup after setup.  The NQ sets up all day, every day, and repeats several patterns that I constantly talk about in our community. But here’s what most traders miss: they’re so busy chasing every shiny object in the market that they never master the one setup that could change their trading forever. Sometimes One Setup and

  Payrolls Push ES Higherby Tony Rago Payroll numbers lit a fire under ES, driving it to new highs. NQ, on the other hand, is still well off its all-time levels. After yesterday’s surge back above 6500, the question now is how much juice is left in the tank. For bulls, the mission is clear — keep pressing for new highs and get NQ to start catching up. It’s Friday, which means one thing: keep it simple and protect the week. Trade clean, stay disciplined, and finish strong. Full breakdown is in today’s Pre-Market Playbook. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Friday%2C%20September%205%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-09052025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

  Bulls Need the Closesby Tony Rago The job today is clear — bulls have to close above the weekly opens and pivots. We’re still trading inside Tuesday’s range, so any break above should target 6500 on ES and 23,750 on NQ. That might be a stretch with payrolls dropping tomorrow, so we could be looking at another range-bound session as the tape waits for the number. Morning econ is on the calendar, so stay sharp if you’re trading the first 30 minutes. Keep it simple, stick to the levels, and let’s crush it. Get my full game plan in today’s Pre-Market Playbook. Dive in here before the bell. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Thursday%2C%20September%204%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-09042025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

  Bulls Back on Top — But Not Clear Yetby Tony Rago Bulls owned yesterday’s tape, pulling us back above 23,333 and 6,433. The key now is follow-through — they’ve got to stay on top of the weekly pivots and weekly opens. That means defending pullbacks to 23,250 on NQ and 6,426 on ES. We’ve got JOLTS this morning as a preview of Friday’s payrolls, plus the Beige Book at 2pm, both of which can move markets. September is here, volatility is picking up, and the tape should give us opportunity. Bulls come into the open with the edge — but they’ve got hurdles above, so let’s see if they can clear them. Full breakdown is in today’s Pre-Market Playbook. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Wednesday%2C%20September%203%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-09032025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

September Opens With a Selloffby Tony Rago Big pullback hitting into the open — VIX pushing toward 19 and the tape can’t hold a bid. That’s a hefty overnight selloff, so the game plan is simple: let the market open, see where we are after the morning econ data, and go from there. This could easily roll into a continuation lower in RTH… or rip back in a sharp bounce. Either way, I’m not trying to nail the low. If there’s a long to be had, it’ll come from sustainable trade above the 30-minute initial balance — not knife-catching. Be careful trying to get cute here. Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Tuesday%2C%20September%202%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-09022025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

  End of Month Mark-Up on Deckby Tony Rago ES notched a new RTH high yesterday and is camped right back at 6500/6488. For bulls, the mission is simple: hold the line and close above 6500 to finish the week and the month strong. NQ has the same task — defend 23,500 and 23,612 and close above those levels into month-end. Bears only get a seat at the table if they can break 23,412 and 6462. Doesn’t look likely, but we’ve got to stay ready for anything. PMI and consumer confidence hit this morning, so keep that in mind as we set up. As always, let the open breathe, watch the initial ranges, and trade what’s in front of you. 👉 Full breakdown is in today’s Pre-Market Playbook. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Friday%2C%20August%2029%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-08292025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

  Bulls Keep Scooping the Dipsby Tony Rago NVDA’s numbers hit and flushed us down to 6459 and 23,434, taking out the prior day’s lows. But just as quick, buyers stepped in and dragged price back into the same range we’ve been chopping in. Overnight dip was scooped, and we’re sitting right back at 23,633 and 6500 into the open. If weakness shows up early, we could easily retest those NVDA lows. But if bulls defend and push, I’ll be watching for a move toward the weekly highs at 6506 and 23,689. Buyers have owned every dip lately, so I’m leaning with them — as long as they show up again at the open. First 30 minutes will tell the story. 👉 Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Thursday%2C%20August%2028%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-08282025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

NVDA on Deck, Market on Edgeby Tony Rago Overnight range was tight — could be another slow one — but with NVDA reporting at the bell, tech may throw some fuel on the tape. As I’m typing, we just saw a sharp rejection off 23,618, sending us right back to the Globex lows. Clearly something’s being priced in. Same approach: let the open breathe, stay objective, and take what the market gives. No forcing trades — just execution when the levels line up. Full breakdown is in today’s Pre-Market Playbook. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Wednesday%2C%20August%2027%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-08272025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]  

  Bulls and Bears Collide at the Pivotsby Tony Rago Today’s all about the pivots. On ES, bulls have to defend 6450 and push back toward 6500. On NQ, bulls need to reclaim 23,500 and their weekly pivot to keep the upside momentum alive. Bears, on the other hand, have a real chance to press — but they’ve got to lock down 6462 and 23,500 as resistance. From there, the targets are the overnight lows and then the Jackson Hole lows at 6412 and 23,250. Overnight range was solid, which means we could actually get some movement today. Keep it simple, stay disciplined, and let’s crush it. Full breakdown is in today’s Pre-Market Playbook. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Tuesday%2C%20August%2026%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-08262025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]