New Week — New Opportunitiesby Tony Rago New week, new opportunities to make money! We’re seeing some interaction with the weekly pivots overnight, so those levels will be important to watch today. The key is where we close on the daily — bulls want to close above the weekly pivots, while bears want to close below them. There’s no econ today, but the week is stacked with economic data, including the payroll numbers on Friday. It could be a quiet, range-bound tape to start the week, but with crude back around 95 and VIX popping a bit, we need to be ready for anything. Let’s see how we open and go from there. There’s no reason to force a move if the market wants to chop, but we also need to stay alert if volatility starts expanding. The weekly pivots should give us a good framework for reading the day,

Dip Bought — Now Stay Nimbleby Tony Rago The dip was bought, and price made its way right back to 31,000 on NQ and 7,800 on ES. There are plenty of crosswinds in this tape, so you need to keep your head on a swivel and stay on your toes. Be ready to flip if the market changes character, and if we simply chop around, stay out. We don’t need to force trades just because the market is moving. We truly have to trade what we see and take the setups that fit our process. That means staying flexible without getting emotional and letting price tell us when the opportunity is actually there. Let’s see what the opening range says and build from there. Stay patient, stay disciplined, and get after it! 💪 👉 Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook. Check it out here and trade it smart. Until

Bulls Are on Notice — Bring the Heatby Tony Rago A full round trip on ES, with price spending most of the overnight session under yesterday’s low, puts the bulls on notice today. Bulls need to bring it or risk losing 7,700. On NQ, they need to defend 30,250 or risk a quick move down toward 30,000. Bears have the advantage while price remains under yesterday’s lows — they just need to keep those levels acting as resistance if we test them from below. That reaction will be key. Let’s see how we open and whether buyers are ready to step back in. There’s no need to guess at it — the levels will tell us who is actually showing up. If bulls can reclaim and hold the key areas, they have a chance to shift the tone. If not, sellers have room to press. Bulls are on notice —

New Highs — But No Commitment Yetby Tony Rago NQ reached a new high on the continuous contract, while the Z contract still has a high at 31,334. ES is consolidating up here, but so far there hasn’t been much commitment from new money at the highs, which is leaving us with a pretty choppy tape. That doesn’t mean the move is over — it means we need to see where the next expansion comes from before making assumptions. All we can do is stay patient, wait for our setups, and let the market show us when it’s ready to expand out of this zone. My plan remains the same as always: let the opening range tell the story. I’m certainly not interested in trying to pick the top with guesses. Let’s see how we open, watch the reaction, and go from there. Patience first, then execution. 💪 👉 Full

Monster Rally — Now What?by Tony Rago ES hit new highs yesterday on a monster rally, and the strength of the move surprised a lot of traders — myself included. I missed the bulk of the move, while NQ led the charge and was by far the strongest of the two. Now the question is whether we consolidate or continue from here. Back-to-back trend days after such a big move would be pretty rare, but as always, anything can happen. Bulls need to hold pullbacks to 30,612/30,500 on NQ and 7,788/7,777 on ES if they want to keep the momentum intact. I’m going to stick to my plan: let the opening range guide us and go with price. After a move like yesterday, there’s no reason to chase or assume we have to get another trend day. Let the market show us whether buyers are still willing to step in

New Week — New Opportunitiesby Tony Rago New week, new opportunities to make money! Another big move overnight without us, as buyers stepped in at Friday’s close and extended that move into the Sunday night session. Now the question is simple: what’s left for us to trade? ES needs to hold pullbacks to 7,733, while NQ needs to defend a pullback to 30,000. Those are the levels I’ll be watching to see if buyers can keep the momentum going or if we start giving some of that overnight move back. We’ll let the opening range tell the story rather than chasing what already happened overnight. The market has made a pretty big move before the regular session even gets going, so patience will be important. Let’s see how price reacts around those key levels, identify where the real participation shows up, and go from there. Let’s get after it! 💪

Bulls Have the Ball — Can They Break Out?by Tony Rago Our pre-market highs have poked out of the top of the range we’ve been stuck in, so now the question is simple: can we retest those highs and actually break out from here? That’s what the bulls need to do today. They want to hold 7,700/7,688 on ES and 29,750/29,633 on NQ, then push back toward the pre-market highs. Holding those levels on a pullback would keep the breakout structure intact and give buyers a chance to continue pressing. The bulls have the ball — now let’s see what they can do with it! We’ve been stuck in this range for a while, so I’m more interested in seeing whether price can prove the breakout than chasing it just because we poked above the range. Let the retest tell us what we need to know, stay patient with the

Post-FED Tape — Bulls Have the Ballby Tony Rago Post-FED tape today and we’ve got a big move in the overnight session, with everything looking to gap up here. This has been a recurring theme over the last several weeks: big moves overnight followed by more muted ranges during the regular session. Bulls need to keep the ball today and defend pullbacks into the key levels — specifically, they need to stay above yesterday’s highs and the weekly opens. If those levels hold, buyers can continue to press, but if they start giving them back, we’ll want to see how the tape reacts before assuming the overnight strength will carry through. Overnight inventory is very long, so the opening reaction will be important. We’ve already traveled a lot before the regular session even begins, which means there’s no need to chase the move. Let’s see how we open, watch those