New Quarter, Big Waves Aheadby Tony Rago Fresh month, fresh quarter. The government shutdown chatter could throw some curveballs into the cash session this morning, so stay sharp. We already had a big overnight range, which means plenty of potential for strong waves once the market opens. Patience is the name of the game — let the tape settle, wait for your setup, and strike when it’s clean. We’ve also got morning econ hitting, so I’ll be watching closely at the 30-minute mark to see who takes control. Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook. Check it out here and let’s get after it. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Wednesday%2C%20October%201%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-10012025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

  Quarter-End Showdownby Tony Rago Last trading day of September, and the close of Q3. We could see some fireworks… or the tape might just park it here. So far, bulls are defending the weekly open and pivot on ES, while NQ still owes us a test of 24,726. The 25,000 roundy was left open yesterday, so if price can clear 24,912, that door swings wide. On ES, that would bring us back to the 6,726–6,733 zone. We’ll see how it plays off the open, especially with econ hitting in the first 30 minutes. Stay patient, let the ranges print, and trade clean setups. 👉 Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook. Check it out here and finish the quarter strong. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Tuesday%2C%20September%2030%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-09302025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

Most traders rely on charts, patterns, and indicators. On September 29th, every single one of these tools failed. Breakouts reversed instantly. Support levels meant nothing. Moving averages got sliced through like butter. The morning session proved what I learned during my years in the Chicago pits: visible price action constantly lies. By the time you see a pattern on your chart, the opportunity is already gone. This is why 90% of traders lose money. They trade what they can see instead of what actually moves markets. On September 29th, while everyone else was getting destroyed by the chop, something different happened at 12:02 PM… …A specific price level triggered that only a handful of traders recognized. The traders who knew my Golden Setup made $760 during that lunch hour. Let me show you what separated the winners from the losers. The Hidden Levels Institutions Can’t Ignore At 12:02 PM, the

  Weekly Opens Set the Battle Linesby Tony Rago New week, fresh chances to get paid. We closed Friday right on the weekly opens — ES at 6997 and NQ at 24,726. Those are the key levels. If bulls are serious, they’ve got to defend them and push for new highs. That puts the pressure squarely on the bears. They’ll need to drive us back under the weekly opens and down toward last week’s lows to flip the tape their way. No real econ on deck today, so it’s all about who wants control. Let the open settle, watch the ranges print, and trade clean setups. 👉 Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook. Check it out here and start the week right. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Monday%2C%20September%2029%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-09292025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

  Bears Try to Close It Outby Tony Rago Friday’s here, and the bears have had control most of the week. Yesterday gave us plenty of volatility, but when you zoom out, it was just an expanded range day — opportunity on both sides if you stayed disciplined. Heading into today, NQ needs to stretch to 24,750, and ES is too close to 6,700 not to test it. For support, I’m watching 6,677/6,670 on ES and 24,350/24,333 on NQ. Hold those and bulls can push; break under, and 6,662 comes back into play. Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook. Check it out here and finish the week strong. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Friday%2C%20September%2026%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-09262025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

  Econ Sparks Early Sellingby Tony Rago Pre-market econ has sellers pressing lower, and I’m watching the U SETTLE levels — 24,568 on NQ and 6,658 on ES — for clues. That’s the zone where a reversal could kick in, but don’t get too anticipatory on the dip buy. Let the tape prove it. We’ve got good volatility, so there will be setups all day. No need to chase — wait for your spots, execute clean, and manage risk. Let’s be safe and crush it today. Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook. Read it here and come prepared. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Thursday%2C%20September%2025%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-09252025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

  Pullback Has Room… If Bears Show Upby Tony Rago Yesterday’s pullback could have more juice if we can get — and stay — under the weekly opens at 6716 and 24,850. If price holds a lower high under 6750 and 25,000, the bears might finally string together another day of downside. That said, I fully expect dip buyers to show their hand. If we’re firm back above the weekly opens, I’ll go with them. Keep it simple, stay patient, and lean slightly bearish into the open — but be ready to flip if the tape demands it. 👉 Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook. Read it here and come ready. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Wednesday%2C%20September%2024%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-09242025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

  Range-Bound Play After Yesterday’s Runby Tony Rago Looking for a range-bound tape today as the market digests yesterday’s move. Key levels I’ve got marked: 25,000 on NQ and 6,750 on ES. Hold firm above, and we can press back toward yesterday’s highs. Slip below, and the door opens to retest yesterday’s lows. Plan stays simple — let the open set the tone, watch the 30-minute ranges, and be ready for either a breakout continuation or a fail lower. No bias, just execution. Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook. Read it here and trade it right. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Tuesday%2C%20September%2023%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-09232025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

  Weekly Opens Set the Toneby Tony Rago New week, new opportunities to get paid. Both NQ and ES are trading under their weekly opens, and that’s the key level to watch. If bulls can retake and hold above, momentum continues higher. Stay below, and it opens the door for a test of the weekly pivots — and under those, a bigger pullback could develop. Plan is simple this morning: let price settle, see where the opening ranges print, and adjust from there. Stay disciplined, stay sharp, and start the week off right. 👉 Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook. Check it out here and get set. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Monday%2C%20September%2022%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-09222025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]

  Expiration Day Fireworksby Tony Rago It’s a big expiration day — which means at some point we should see a move, and it could get violent in either direction. Bulls are still holding the line, so new highs are on the table to close out the week. But if 6662 on ES or 24,500 on NQ give way, that opens the door for a deeper slide. Bottom line: don’t let the slow price action fool you into complacency. Stay sharp, stick to your rules, and be ready when the tape decides to move. Let’s finish the week strong. Full breakdown is inside today’s Pre-Market Playbook. Check it out here and get set. [file_download style=”2″][op_file_download_item title=”Friday%2C%20September%2019%2C%202025%20-%20Tony’s%20Pre-Market%20Playbook” icon=”style1-Pdf-64×64.png” file=”https://theotrade.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/TonysPre-MarketPlaybook-09192025.pdf” package=”” level=”” new_window=”Y”][/op_file_download_item][/file_download]