The Stagflation Signal You Need to See

Silver has doubled its value relative to gold in twelve months. That move has only happened twice in the last 45 years. Both times preceded major economic inflection points. In 1980, it marked the peak of stagflation before the Reagan era began. In 2011, it signaled the end of the post-crisis commodity boom before a

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Planning Your Path to Trading Success

Two weeks ago, we talked about review. Today, we talk about planning ahead. Review shows us where we’ve been. Planning shows us where we’re going. You can review what you did right and wrong all day long. But without a plan, you’ll repeat your mistakes and forget to repeat your wins. My son is working

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When To Let Winners Run vs. When To Take Profit

Every trader faces the same question after entering a winning position. Do I take profit at my target? Or do I let it run? Most traders have no system for this decision.  They rely on gut feeling, greed, or fear.  The result is inconsistent execution and money left on the table. The Core Principle If

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The Venezuela Split

Energy stocks exploded on the Venezuela news. But half the sector got left behind. Exxon rallied. Chevron surged. Remember those Exxon Mobil calls that I talked about expiring in February? They’ve doubled!  The Valero put spread that was under water? Now it’s profitable! Yet, Occidental Petroleum reversed hard after gapping up at the open. Antero

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The Bond Signal That Will Shape 2026

The S&P 500 gapped up on the first trading day of 2026. Then it closed down. Retail traders immediately started debating whether this year would be bullish or bearish.  They dissected every tick of the index…watched Nvidia…Tesla… They all watched the wrong market entirely. The bond market tells the real story. And it quietly flashed

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Why the Best System is Worthless if You Hate Executing it

I love to bake and cook (yes, there’s a huge difference). And while I do, I like to experiment.  I enjoy taking core concepts and adjusting them to create something we’ve never had before. The process and the results are genuinely fun and fulfilling for me.  However, this drives my wife a little bit crazy.

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The Volume Indicator Most Traders Use Wrong

Most traders look at volume indicators and see one thing: buyers versus sellers. Green means buying. Red means selling. Simple enough. That approach misses the entire story. Recently, I walked through my modified Chaikin Money Flow indicator in detail. The response was overwhelming. Dozens of emails flooded in asking for more. So let me break

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Trading Traditions and Holiday Magic

I want to flip the way I write this weekend article. I will talk about trading first and personal at the end. As we enter the full swing of the holiday season, I was thinking of traditions both new and old. I found a parallel between tradition and trading rules. Tradition creates the often-unsaid rulebook

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The Ice Cube Is Melting. Here’s What Happens Next.

Picture an ice cube sitting next to a fire. When it’s far away, the cube barely melts. Move it closer, and the water starts pooling fast. In the final moments, it’s gone in seconds. That’s time decay. And right now, one of our trade ideas is watching the ice cube work in its favor while

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When Trade Ideas Meet Reality: Two Week Update

Two weeks ago, I walked you through three protection-first trade ideas:’ A healthcare diagonal on GILD  An energy put spread on VLO And oil sector calls on XOM These were setups to illustrate a methodology.  Protection first, growth second. Structures that survive market noise. But here’s what makes this valuable: tracking what would’ve happened. Today?

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