We’re living through a Great Tech Reset right now. And here’s the kicker – the Fed is cutting rates into a period where tech earnings estimates aren’t decreasing. They’re expanding. The last time we saw this setup was the dot com bubble. Look, I know everyone’s tired of dot com comparisons. But the data doesn’t lie. Check out this week’s For the second straight week, tech (XLK) is leading on the 1-week timeframe. Communications (XLC) is dominating everything else – 30-day, YTD, and 1-year performance. This isn’t something you see in bear markets. Tech makes up around 30% of the S&P 500. When it’s leading across multiple timeframes like this, with the Fed cutting rates behind it, you’re looking at a very specific setup. The trend is undeniable. We’ve got two parallel tech resets happening: 1) The Great American Tech Reset – Fed easing into expanding earnings estimates 2) The

Every now and then, I like to remind readers that sentiment follows price, not the other way around. Which is why I’m more bullish on Solana than I’ve ever been. Back in April, I started pounding the table on Ethereum while everyone was calling it useless, too expensive, outdated. As it turns out, it’s been the best-performing asset off that low – blown stocks and gold (which is having its best year in over four decades) completely out of the water. Now I’m seeing identical criticism leveled at Solana. Here’s the thing about pattern recognition: when the crowd hates what you like, that’s not a warning sign – it’s a buy signal. Fresh rate cuts from the Fed mean new sector rotations. Accelerations into some areas, decelerations into others. While everyone’s chasing the obvious plays, I’m watching the asset getting the exact same hate Ethereum got six months ago. My

My relationship with money is a peculiar one.  I wasn’t born rich, nor was I born poor. I really was raised as middle-class as it gets. Both of my parents always worked. My father was a union laborer in the cement business. My mother was a secretary in the automotive industry. They worked long hours. After school, my grandparents took care of me and my brother until my parents came home in the evenings. Gramps drove me to soccer practice until I got my license. It wasn’t an easy life. But we made it work. My family emigrated to the U.S. before I was born. Back in Italy, my grandfather raised cattle. We never wanted for anything, but never took what we had for granted. Seeing my parents dedication to building a life here in the U.S., listening to the stories of my family back in Italy all helped shape

Everyone declared the AI bubble dead. Headlines screamed overvaluation. Tech analysts warned of crashes. I was watching something completely different unfold in the semiconductor space. The Big Picture They Missed The AI death crowd missed fundamental demand drivers that haven’t disappeared. Data centers still need memory. Cloud infrastructure requires massive processing power. AI applications create unprecedented chip demand. Companies like Micron don’t benefit from AI hype. They benefit from AI reality. Every major tech company races to build AI capabilities. That requires hardware. Memory chips, processing units, storage solutions. The entire semiconductor ecosystem benefits from this technological arms race. But markets don’t move in straight lines. Corrections happen. Sentiment swings from greed to fear and back. Smart traders use fear to position for the next wave. The semiconductor space showed strength while everyone panicked. NVIDIA held key support. AMD built bases. Taiwan Semi attracted fresh institutional interest. Charts told a

Have you noticed how stocks are at all-time highs while there’s a never-ending laundry list of reasons to think why we’re about to crash? There’s a reason why the saying, “A bull market climbs a wall of worry,” exists. I’m one of those traders that think the market knows best. And so when it talks, I like to listen (especially when it comes to this sector)… Here’s what caught my attention.  The Signal is Very Clear   The message from the market is remarkably clear right now. Communications (XLC) are absolutely dominating this tape across the board. This is not something to be taken lightly. Communications (XLC) have a lot of overlap with the tech sector, and by extension, the whole artificial intelligence theme.  Remember a couple of weeks back when various pundits were calling for the end of the “AI bubble?” I do. We were happy to take the

Let me tell you why everyone else is wrong about China… Rate cuts and a weaker dollar are making international stocks competitive again.  No other large country has a tech landscape that can compare to the U.S. except China. They have more power to drive consumers into electric vehicles than we do. That combination creates a setup most traders will never see coming in XPEV. XPeng just broke a three-year downtrend. The pattern is reversing. Momentum has turned up with RSI readings above 70 for the first time since 2021. This isn’t just another international play. This is a chart and a company worth watching closely. The Setup Nobody Sees Coming Take a look at the XPEV chart I’ve been tracking. XPEV endured nearly three years of brutal selling pressure.  Now we’re finally seeing a technical reversal. This has all the hallmarks of a major trend change. Notice that key

By next week, five months will have passed since the market hit that epic bottom in April.  While plenty of naysayers emerged in the months that followed, we stuck to our money-flow model—and it guided us beautifully throughout the entire rally. Recently, I’ve been exercising more caution, and I’ll admit those defensive signals are starting to evolve again. This pattern has been consistent since mid-July: we see a week or two of defensive flows, followed by a strong bull run.  Let me share what this means for us moving forward. Tech is Gathering Momentum… Again Since the April 7 low, technology has remained by far the top-performing sector in this market.  If you’re wondering why the rally has stalled at the index level, it’s because this sector went dormant. But now, after several weeks of slumber, the sleeping giant is ready to wake up again. Take a moment to consider

Stocks headed into the long weekend on uncertain ground.  The cautionary money flows we highlighted previously have only intensified over the past week. So, where does this leave us heading into what could be a volatile September? As always, cooler heads prevail. Here’s why I believe we’re setting up for the best buying opportunity since April… The Rally is Running on Fumes Energy (XLE) topped the charts again last week—a sector that typically emerges as a leader in the later stages of market cycles. Remember, this rally could hit the five-month mark this week. Meanwhile, communications (XLC) dominates across all other timeframes. This is genuinely bullish territory, given how growth-oriented this sector is. The takeaway? We might face some near-term turbulence, but it’s positioning us for substantial long-term gains. Keep those cool heads—be ready to buy the dip. You can bet the press will amplify whatever “cause” they assign to

2025 has been defined by international stocks outperforming U.S. stocks. Many traders and money managers became complacent. They thought the Magnificent Seven could carry them forward forever. We know that nothing in this business lasts forever. There’s just a tendency for things to last longer than expected. I’ve been talking about China all year. Based on what I’m seeing unfold now, I think you’re about to hear a lot more about it. The Freeze Point Cracked – Again Last week, I presented my Freeze Points system. I shared a setup I was tracking in Trip.com, a Chinese stock. It checked off all my boxes. Yesterday, it exploded higher. Today brought another win. Alibaba ripped higher on yet another freeze point setup that paid out nicely. More Chinese names are setting up left and right. Once rate cuts hit in September, I expect this theme to accelerate even more. This is

I’m checking in on markets here as I’m heading back from the beach here in Italy. It was a very relaxing weekend, but it’s time to dive back in head first into these markets now. I was able to complete my weekend analysis before catching my fair share of rays, and I must say that there were some very noteworthy shifts in money flows last week. Will Powell’s Put Hold? Last week, I shared some of the somewhat concerning capital flows in the market. We had healthcare come roaring back, but it was rather quiet for the defensive sector last week. Instead, we saw energy come back alive, as the sector arguably remains the most “on-sale” one in the entire market. Stocks were on parade on Friday following Powell’s pivot, which gave Fed doves exactly what they wanted to hear. But here’s the problem – tech didn’t lead the rally