TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Wake Up – Ethereum’s Breaking Out

Another week has passed, and I’m once again bringing Ethereum to your attention. I won’t apologize for being a broken record on this market, because it continues to display the most upside momentum. Ethereum is shaping up to be the asset to own in the second-half of 2025. Members in Theo chat, the Trinity Trade, and even the Million-Dollar Challenge have been long since late-April and the rewards are being reaped right now. About a month and $1,000 ago, I shared an article on how you probably don’t own enough Ethereum. I doubled down last week, when Ethereum was still below $3,000.  So now, the biggest question is – what comes next?  Crypto Week and Ethereum’s Supply Shock Congress was able to advance three key bills related to crypto this past week, and we have a situation where there are record shorts in the futures market, along with record ETH

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TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Make that Two Cracks in This Rally

Stocks finally pulled back last week, but it wasn’t the most convincing reversal back lower. That said, I’ve been monitoring some of the emerging cracks in this rally over the past two weeks. We have another leader that popped up last week that suggests upside momentum is running out of gas. Does that mean it’s automatically time to bail on this rally? Far from that. It just means that the priorities in our approach to this market needs to be different.  Here’s what I mean…  Is Growth Accelerating, Or…? Two weeks ago, the top-performing sector was basic materials (XLB). Last week, energy (XLE) emerged as the top-performer. To be clear, this is not the type of short-term leadership we’d see if upside momentum was accelerating. But let’s take a step back for a moment and give credit where it’s due – bulls had an incredible run over the past three

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TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Now, About That Ethereum…

A few weeks ago, I published an article on Ethereum, and how you probably don’t own enough. I wanted to use today’s column to double-down on this call, especially as we head into “crypto week” in Washington. Do you remember how Bitcoin reserve companies were all the rage in recent years? Just think of Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy (MSTR) and all the attention it’s attracted. But now, we’re seeing companies shift to Ethereum reserves, and it’s leading to absolutely monstrous intraday moves. These are the types of things you see going into a market mania. So, where do we go from here?  I think we’re headed this way…  The Ethereum Bull Market Is Young and Strong One of the hallmarks of true crypto manias over the years has been Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin. And then, an “alt-season” inevitably follows. I’m not a fan of the majority of alt-coins, although there are some

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TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: A Minor Crack in the Price Action

We saw a very strong finish last Thursday for stocks as we went into the long holiday weekend. We’re seeing market breadth and participation remain resilient, but you know me – I’m always on the lookout for cracks in this rally. A few weeks back, some cracks surfaced when energy was outperforming. If you recall, that was around the time of the peak tensions between Israel and Iran. But then technology came roaring back, the crack was mended. Last week, we saw another sector assume leadership. What does this mean for the state of the rally going forward? Ease Up on the Growth? The best-performing sector last week was basic materials (XLB). This is an interesting short-term leader, because it can mean one of two things, or both. We just passed a bill that’s basically worth $5 trillion dollars in stimulus. Plus, we have the Fed that’s likely to lower

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TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Bulls Walk, Bears Talk

[images style=”0″ image=”https%3A%2F%2Ftheotrade.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2024%2F07%2FSector-Leader-Bullseye-Thumbnail-1024×576-1.jpg” width=”1024″ align=”center” top_margin=”0″ full_width=”Y”] Last week delivered what bulls have been waiting for since February: fresh all-time highs in U.S. stock indices, with the Nasdaq blazing the trail higher. This isn’t just any rally—it’s a growth-driven surge that signals the market’s real appetite for risk is back. The outperformance of growth sectors since the April 7 low has been building momentum for weeks, and after last week’s breakout, this trend is accelerating into what could be a powerful third quarter. Take a look at this… Growth is Accelerating into Q3 [images style=”0″ image=”https%3A%2F%2Ftheotrade.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F06%2FScreenshot-2025-06-30-115911.png” width=”639″ align=”center” top_margin=”0″ full_width=”Y”] The sector leaderboard tells the story perfectly. Communications and technology are leading the charge, with industrials and financials close behind. Take a moment to appreciate what’s missing from this list: not a single defensive sector in sight. That’s pure bullish conviction. Tech came roaring back last week, slightly outpaced by

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The Great Tech Reset Enters Its Next Phase

Since May, I’ve been ranting and raving about the Great Tech Reset. And just today, we finally saw the S&P 500 make a new all-time high for the first time in over four months. This rally, of course, is being driven higher by the technology sector. This isn’t surprising given it accounts for 30% of the S&P 500. In fact, if we go back to the April 7 low, the XLK Technology ETF is up over 37%. That’s pretty remarkable considering it hasn’t even been two months. But what if I told you there’s another component within tech that’s up even more? Check this out…  Great Tech Reset Pillar #1: Super-Chip Technology There are three pillars of the Great Tech Reset, but today, I just want to focus on the first in super-chip technology. Let’s be frank: none of the revolutionary tech we’re seeing today, from artificial intelligence to quantum

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TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: Energy Needs Enough Fuel to Run

Geopolitical tensions are through the roof right now. Will Iran retaliate? Will they close the strategically important Straight of Hormuz? We could spend a lot of time guessing what could happen, but that’s not likely to contribute to our portfolio’s bottom line. I would like to remind readers that we saw energy prices make an important high back in 2022, not long after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. It was a true case of “buy the rumor, sell the news.” I can’t say whether that’s happening again this time, but we can certainly take stock of the current situation based on what’s leading.  Check this out…  A Dangerous Cocktail for Bulls   The energy sector is absolutely running the table in the near-term. It’s solidifying its place as the top-performing sector on a weekly and monthly basis, which raises the eyebrows for the bulls. If this momentum continues, it could lead

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This “Lotto Trade” Puts Us at the Epicenter of the Quantum Security Explosion

  It’s tough to overstate the impact quantum computing is going to have on just about everything.  To compound the issue, there’s a ton of extraneous hype and misinformation flying around about what quantum computing is and is capable of.  I’m going to oversimplify here, but today’s most sophisticated commercially available computers can process trillions of operations per second; it can even do these tasks in parallel now. So-called “supercomputers” can now process more than 1 quintillion floating point operations per second.  But for all the impressive speed and sophistication, it’s still a binary game: 0 or 1, on or off, yes or no.  Enter quantum computing, the capabilities of which we’ve barely scratched the surface of. Thanks to the “qubit,” its basic unit, we’re leaving “or” territory and entering the land of “and.”  It sounds simple but when we talk about 1 and 0, on and off, yes and

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You Probably Don’t Own Enough Ethereum

I try not to complicate things when I trade. I want to participate in the strongest markets to the upside, and completely avoid the weakest markets to the downside.  Following this simple rule will save you from a lot of stress, and to keep making good decisions in this trading business, you have to stay on top of stress management. I’m always on the lookout for the next big move in markets, and right now, I’ve got Ethereum right at the top of my list. Here’s why…  Stocks Will Move to the Blockchain Can you imagine paying for a good or service with a stock like Tesla or Nvidia? You read that right. Forget about the Dollar, gold, and all of these random cryptocurrencies (most of which will go to zero) for a second, and think about what I just said. Back when I started in the business, it took

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TheoTrade’s Tale of the Tape: This Week Is Critical for the Rally

With everything going on in the world, you might be wondering why I’m starting this week off going after the Fed. I talked about it on Friday – the spike in oil prices has put the Fed on notice when it comes to inflation. To be clear – one day or even one week does not make or break a trend, but there were notable shifts underneath the surface of the market last week. Does this put the rally on weaker footing going forward?  Let’s discuss… Bulls Don’t Want to See Energy Lead   The price of crude oil exploded higher late last week, sending the energy sector (XLE) soaring with it. The rally was so strong that it overtook technology as the best-performing sector on a 30-day basis as well.  Energy is a sector that tends to lead in the later stages of the market cycle. So, after nine

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