Bulls Talk Down the Bears – For Now

Hello TheoTrader, Last week threw everything at the market.  GDP missed  Inflation surprised to the upside The Supreme Court struck down Trump’s tariffs Stocks went up anyway. That matters. When a market absorbs genuinely bad news and still closes higher, it’s telling you something important.  The sellers threw their best punches and the market shrugged.

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Why I Never Trade on Vacation

Hey trader,  I spent the past week in Sarasota for a much-needed vacation with the family. Was I tempted to trade? Absolutely.  But…did I trade? Not at all. Past experience taught me a very hard (and costly) lesson: only trade when you’re prepared. I’m sure many of you will disagree with me. After all, with

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Bears Are in Control Until Proven Otherwise

Hello TheoTrader, Last week quietly confirmed what a lot of traders have been afraid to admit… Bulls are losing control of this market. Not in a dramatic, headline-grabbing way. In the slow, grinding way that catches people off guard. The problem is that most traders won’t notice until it’s too late.  Defensive sectors are taking

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How I Spot Market Bottoms Before the Crowd

Hey trader, When will we bottom? The question everyone has. I’ve warned folks for weeks about rising risks in the stock market.  The wrong sectors led us higher while the right ones faded. Now the crowd is finally noticing the pattern. Look, I’ve seen this exact setup play out dozens of times. So, naturally, I’ve

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Needs Are Outperforming Wants

Hello TheoTrader, Most traders miss the rotation until it’s too late.  By the time defensive sectors hit the headlines, the smart money has already repositioned, and the easiest gains are gone. This isn’t just about being slow…  It’s about trading on lagging information while institutions are already three steps ahead, quietly accumulating positions that won’t

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Did the Real Flight-to-Safety Just Begin?

Hello TheoTrader, Volatility crept back into the market last week as the rout in the tech sector accelerated. Defensive sectors within equities are maintaining their near-term momentum, but last week, the Trinity model picked up on an even bigger shift – in a completely different asset class. It’s an asset class that has been largely

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Software Is Down 20%. Here’s Why I’m Excited.

Hey trader, Year-to-date, software stocks are down +20%. 5% was lopped off in a single session.  We are back to levels not seen since April of last year. The entire 2025 rally in software just got erased. I’m excited. This selloff is setting up the best buying opportunity of 2026. Why Software Is Getting Destroyed

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An Awakened Bear in Search of Energy

Hello TheoTrader, Picture this: you’re deep in the forest, it’s the dead of winter, and you find a bear snoring peacefully in its den.  What do you do? Walk away quietly, right? This market chose violence. If you were out in the forest in the middle of winter and came across a den where a

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Why I Just Raised Cash to My Highest Level in a Year

Hello TheoTrader, I have been bullish on stocks since late April 2025.  Don and Professor Bierman like to tease me and call me a perma-bull, but the truth is, I am far from that. I like to focus on leadership, cycles, and technical setups.  Right now, the first two of those are flashing serious warning

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Who Poked the Bear?

Hello TheoTrader, The market is sending mixed signals. Most traders are watching the wrong ones. Stocks finished lower last week, but the Nasdaq held up best. That sounds like good news for growth investors. It isn’t. Beneath the surface, sector leadership is shifting in ways that typically precede major market turns. Late-cycle sectors are surging

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