Hello TheoTrader, The market is sending mixed signals. Most traders are watching the wrong ones. Stocks finished lower last week, but the Nasdaq held up best. That sounds like good news for growth investors. It isn’t. Beneath the surface, sector leadership is shifting in ways that typically precede major market turns. Late-cycle sectors are surging

Hello TheoTrader, Every time regional banks sell off, the doomsayers come out of the woodwork.  The 2023 banking crisis isn’t over… Another shoe is about to drop… Waiting for that shoe means you missed one of the quietest rallies in the financial sector. Regional banks just hit their highest level since early 2022.  The same

Hello TheoTrader, It was another choppy week for stocks as we come into a shortened trading week with earnings season in full swing. The leadership over the past few weeks has been rather rocky. Growth sectors aren’t leading across the board anymore, and that’s causing disturbances in the market’s near-term trend. But last week’s sector

Hello TheoTrader, The last time small caps broke out of a multi-year base like this, they crushed large caps by over 20% in the following year. That same setup is forming right now. And almost nobody is paying attention. I get it. Big tech has been the easy trade for so long that looking anywhere

Hello TheoTrader, Something clicked for the bulls last week. The first full week of 2026 saw both the S&P 500 and the Dow register new all-time highs. The Nasdaq still hasn’t reclaimed its October peak, but it led the charge with the strongest weekly gains. The real story isn’t just that stocks went up. It’s

Hello TheoTrader, The indices are hitting new highs. The real story, however, is the battle raging underneath the surface. This week, the Dow, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 all reached new all-time highs. The Nasdaq continues to lag behind. These mixed signals reveal something important about the current market environment. Since the start of the

Hello TheoTrader, Today is the last day of the Santa Claus Rally. But practically speaking, holiday trading is officially over.  We’re back to full trading regular hours. After some needed rest, I am locked and loaded for 2026. It’s a good thing too, because this year started with a geopolitical bang.  Maduro was yanked out

Hello TheoTrader, Three years. Three double-digit gains. And one brutal April that nearly derailed everything. The S&P 500 finished 2025 up approximately 17%, more than doubling its historical 7% average. That follows 24% in 2023 and 23% in 2024. But the headline number doesn’t tell the whole story. This year tested conviction like few others,

Hello TheoTrader, It’s the final trading week of 2025. Both the S&P 500 and the Dow closed at their highest weekly levels in history again on Friday. This is bullish price action. Full stop. Overall, it was a year dominated by the tech sector. If you didn’t own tech, your odds of outperforming were very

Hello TheoTrader, Holiday trading is in full swing, but I’m not giving much weight to the Santa Claus Rally period right now. My focus is on where capital rotated this quarter at the sector level. With only three trading days remaining in 2024, the Q4 data is essentially complete—giving us a meaningful foundation to assess