Hello TheoTrader, The indices are hitting new highs. The real story, however, is the battle raging underneath the surface. This week, the Dow, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 all reached new all-time highs. The Nasdaq continues to lag behind. These mixed signals reveal something important about the current market environment. Since the start of the
Hello TheoTrader, Today is the last day of the Santa Claus Rally. But practically speaking, holiday trading is officially over. We’re back to full trading regular hours. After some needed rest, I am locked and loaded for 2026. It’s a good thing too, because this year started with a geopolitical bang. Maduro was yanked out
Hello TheoTrader, Three years. Three double-digit gains. And one brutal April that nearly derailed everything. The S&P 500 finished 2025 up approximately 17%, more than doubling its historical 7% average. That follows 24% in 2023 and 23% in 2024. But the headline number doesn’t tell the whole story. This year tested conviction like few others,
Hello TheoTrader, It’s the final trading week of 2025. Both the S&P 500 and the Dow closed at their highest weekly levels in history again on Friday. This is bullish price action. Full stop. Overall, it was a year dominated by the tech sector. If you didn’t own tech, your odds of outperforming were very
Hello TheoTrader, Holiday trading is in full swing, but I’m not giving much weight to the Santa Claus Rally period right now. My focus is on where capital rotated this quarter at the sector level. With only three trading days remaining in 2024, the Q4 data is essentially complete—giving us a meaningful foundation to assess
Hello TheoTrader, Last week was a reminder to never count your chickens before they hatch. Up until around Thursday, it looked like bears had seized the initiative in the tape. But back-to-back strong days for the bulls completely flipped the script by Friday’s close. The strength of the rebound was further confirmed from the leadership
Hello TheoTrader, As major stock indices continue to chop around near their all-time highs, the sector rotations underneath the surface have been telling a compelling story. You better not be betting against the consumer going into 2026. The CPI data from earlier in the week came in way cooler than expected. Crude oil prices are
Hello TheoTrader, A bit of chaos crept into the tape last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared to a new all-time high. Yet, technology, which drove most of the rally, lagged behind. So, is this the start of another round of market turbulence, or just a healthy bull market rotation? The new sectors on
Hello TheoTrader, The Fed cut rates this past Wednesday by 25 basis points, as expected. There’s little unity among board members about what to do next. I’ll let the pundits handle that discussion. Today, I want to share how this latest cut is bullish for small cap stocks, which we track via the Russell 2000.
Hello TheoTrader, For those not paying attention, both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at their highest weekly level in history. Although the Nasdaq didn’t close at a new record last week, there were major positive internal developments in the tech-heavy index. Bulls are putting themselves in a strong position as Santa
