One stock is up this week. Everything else is bleeding. That is not safety.
Look at the tape this week. Meta down. Nvidia slipping. Google off. Financials finally rolling over after holding up for two weeks. S&P headed for its fifth straight losing week. And then there is one name. Sitting right at the top. Untouched. While everything else is getting taken out. You want to call that strength.
Google Just Did What DeepSeek Did. The $5 Trillion Server Farm Bet Just Got More Interesting.
Google just did it again. This week Google published research showing their new algorithm processes AI memory at eight times the efficiency of current methods. Eight times the output. Same hardware. I heard it and said it immediately. That is another DeepSeek moment. Here is the background for anyone who missed DeepSeek a year ago.
Two Superfly butterflies closed this morning. Both over 100%
Yesterday I placed three Superfly trades live on camera. Tesla butterfly. Broadcom butterfly. Meta butterfly. All three structured around expected move edges. All three zero DTE, meaning options that expire the same day. This morning I closed two of them. Tesla closed at $1.35. We paid 65 cents yesterday. That is 108% in one
I woke up in the middle of the night and knew they had to do something.
I woke up in the middle of the night to use the bathroom, looked at the futures, and thought: they have to do something. I have been watching vol for thirty years. I built the expected move framework at thinkorswim from scratch. When the S&P is melting away at 3 AM, you do not need
The market hasn’t moved in 11 weeks. That’s not good news.
Eleven consecutive weeks without touching the edge of the expected move. Let that sit for a second. The expected move is the range the options market prices in for any given week. It is a specific dollar number derived from implied volatility, the market’s own estimate of how far it expects to move. When the
I Was Right About the Market. I’m Still Losing Money.
Being right is not enough. I hear it constantly. A trader got the direction right, the market moved exactly where they said it would, and they still lost money. They are frustrated. Confused. And usually convinced they did something wrong. They did not do anything wrong. They just learned one of the most important lessons
Salesforce Spent $25 Billion Buying Back Stock. Three Days Later, Nobody Knows What to Think.
Salesforce just spent twenty-five billion dollars buying back its own stock. Three trading sessions later, the stock is almost exactly where it started. Up 3% on the announcement. Down 3.24% the next day. Up 2.6% today. That chop — on the largest buyback in company history — is the story. Let me tell you why.
Big Tech Is Flat While the Market Breaks Down. That’s Not Strength. That’s Distribution.
NVIDIA, Google, Microsoft, Broadcom. All flat. All unmoved. The S&P grinding toward November closing lows and the biggest names in tech acting like nothing was happening. That’s not strength. That’s distribution. The Leaders Who Aren’t Leading The S&P spent the morning grinding around 6700 — dangerous territory if you know what to look for.
The private credit crisis that’s about to crush tech (and nobody sees it coming)
Deutsche Bank hit new lows this morning. BlackRock locked out redemptions on their private credit funds. Morgan Stanley just did the same thing. And I’m sitting here thinking: does anybody understand what this means for tech? Let me connect some dots for you. Who do you think is financing all these AI data centers? “Here’s
The Day Hurricane Katrina Made Me Turn Off CNBC Forever
Fifteen years ago, Hurricane Katrina taught me everything I needed to know about markets and news. Haven’t watched financial television since. Not because I’m stubborn. Because that storm cost me money and showed me how the game really works. The “Smart” Hurricane Trade Back then, I was trading with Tom Sosnoff. We’re looking at weather