Friday, February 20, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Stuck at the Weekly Openby Tony Rago It’s been a big sideways week — and the tape shows it. We haven’t strayed far from the weekly open, and once again we’re hovering right around that level heading into today’s session. When price keeps rotating around the weekly open like this, it tells you there’s balance

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Thursday, February 19, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Holding Higher Lows or Rolling Over?by Tony Rago Bulls tried to string a day together, but momentum stalled before it could really build. Now it’s about structure. On the higher time frames, they need to start carving out higher lows — that’s how trends stabilize and regain traction. For ES, 6,850 is the line in

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Wednesday, February 18, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Pivot Pressure — Decision Dayby Tony Rago Overnight we tested the weekly pivot and saw a slight rejection off the level — nothing dramatic, but enough to show it’s being respected. The weekly pivot often acts as a tone-setter for the entire week, and when price holds above it while defending the weekly open, it

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Tuesday, February 17, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Lower Highs, Higher Stakesby Tony Rago Overnight weakness continues to print lower highs on the higher time frames — that’s a subtle but important shift in structure. When price keeps failing at lower levels, it tells you sellers are defending early and often. Bulls need to regain traction and push back above the weekly opens

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The Bracket That Betrayed Me

Hey trader, Friday morning, I took three back-to-back losses on micros before my Golden Setup session even started. Every direction call was correct. Price came down, hit my stop, and came right back to my entry each time. “The direction call was good on my part, but there was just too much vol.” The ES

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Friday, February 13, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

CPI Bounce — But The Line Is Drawnby Tony Rago CPI sparked the bounce we were looking for, lifting ES back into 6,850 and NQ toward 24,812 after probing the overnight lows. That’s a meaningful response — but let’s be clear, the bulls are still wounded. Now it’s all about holding yesterday’s closing levels. Those

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Thursday, February 12, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Massive Ranges, Clear Focusby Tony Rago We’re sitting in a pure consolidation tape, but don’t mistake that for small moves. Yesterday we pushed to a new weekly high on the jobs reaction, then saw full liquidation all the way down to 6,933 on ES — and now we’re right back pressing 6,988 into the 7,000

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Wednesday, February 11, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Jobs Revision Shrugged Off — Bulls Still in Controlby Tony Rago The revised jobs number hit and ES pushed right back to 6,988 while NQ tagged 25,333 — and the market barely flinched. No dramatic repricing, no emotional unwind. That tells you something. When data drops and price holds firm, it’s usually a sign of

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Tuesday, February 10, 2026 – Tony’s Pre – Market Playbook

Holding the Line — Eyes on 7Kby Tony Rago Bulls showed up yesterday and did what they needed to do, holding the line and closing back above both the weekly open and the weekly pivot on ES and NQ. That’s meaningful context — reclaiming those levels often signals stabilization rather than continuation lower. That said,

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Monday, February 9, 2026 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Back Into the Range — Leadership Checkby Tony Rago Friday’s rally pushed us right back into the heart of the big sideways zone we’ve been chopping around in for what feels like months. That context matters — range environments reward patience and punish chasing. Coming into the new week, bulls need to show they can

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