Wednesday, November 19, 2025 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Settle-Line Standoffby Tony Rago We’re opening right on the SETTLE levels for both ES and NQ, and that’s the pivot zone that decides the next leg for me. If buyers can hold these areas as support, they’ve got room to run; lose them, and bears step back into the driver’s seat. Underneath these levels it

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Monday, November 17, 2025 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Heavy Start to the Weekby Tony Rago New week, fresh opportunities — but the tape is coming in heavy again as we trade back into that 6,733 zone on ES and the big 25,000 round number on NQ. These are meaningful areas where buyers have stepped in before, so the open will tell us a

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It’s Like Cheating on a Test

A trader texted me something this week that made me smile. He was watching the NQ during Wednesday’s session when price closed at 25,431 at 2:00 PM Eastern. The close above 25,412 opened the 25,500 level. Price dropped 150 points down to 25,350. Then it ripped straight back to 25,500. His text: “The Houdini show.

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Friday, November 14, 2025 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Back to the Lows — Heavy Tape Aheadby Tony Rago The tape is coming in heavy into the open — we’ve essentially round-tripped the entire week and are pressing back into last Friday’s low zone. The big question now: do buyers defend it again, or does this time break the pattern? With VIX pushing 22.82,

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Thursday, November 13, 2025 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Shutdown Lifted — Now What?by Tony Rago With the shutdown officially over, the big question is whether buyers can turn that headline into real follow-through. Overnight markets couldn’t push to new highs and have since slipped back toward 25,500 on NQ and 6,850 on ES — two spots that have been key reference levels all

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Wednesday, November 12, 2025 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

  Grind Back to the Highsby Tony Rago Overnight, ES tagged 6,900 as price continues to grind higher with shallow pullbacks that keep getting bought. The tape feels heavy with FOMO and bullish sentiment, and you can see it in how quickly buyers step in on every minor dip. Momentum’s strong, but it’s starting to

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Tuesday, November 11, 2025 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

Veterans Day Momentum Checkby Tony Rago Thank you to all who have served — we appreciate you. 🇺🇸 After a strong rally off Friday’s lows, markets are opening the week stretched and due for some retracement or consolidation. The bigger picture remains bullish on the higher time frames, but after that kind of move, it’s

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Monday, November 10, 2025 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

  Gap Up to Start the Weekby Tony Rago Markets gapped up off the open and caught a clean rally from the weekly open — momentum carried over from Friday’s sharp reversal after rumors of a government shutdown resolution hit the wires. That kind of headline-driven move often stretches price quickly, leaving traders to sort

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When the Tape Tells You No

Three trades. Three minus three losses. Three consecutive paper cuts that added up to one clear message. “This tape just doesn’t want me in it. It does not want me in it at all.” Monday morning felt wrong from the start. The market wasn’t moving with conviction. Price action looked choppy. The levels I normally

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Friday, November 7, 2025 – Tony’s Pre-Market Playbook

  Same Story — Sellers in Controlby Tony Rago Pops keep getting sold, and the tape’s now pointing toward a test of 6,700 on ES and 25,000 on NQ. Bulls still can’t get traction, and with no jobs data on deck this morning, we could see more of the same—grind lower, fade the rips, and

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