Tuesday, July 1, 2025 – TheoLIVE Market Masters

 

“Q3 Begins: Capital Rotates, Commodities Roar, and the Dollar’s Drama Unfolds”


Welcome to the third quarter. The fireworks already started, and no, I’m not talking about your neighbor’s backyard arsenal. I’m talking about capital rotation — the kind that sets up entire quarters, not just one-day pops.

If you’re not tracking sector shifts, you’re flying blind. Let’s fix that.


What I’m Watching:

Energy Stocks Enter Breakdown Mode

  • This is the first real sector swing we’ve seen in a while.
  • Watch for breakdown continuation — and don’t chase weakness thinking it’s value.

Capital Flight from the Dollar Continues

  • The dollar’s down over 11% YTD — that’s not noise, that’s structural.
  • I’m watching $UDN (inverse dollar ETF) instead of futures — it’s a better lens into financialized capital flow.

Commodities Still Command the Narrative

  • Dollar weakness fuels commodity strength — and capital is rotating into it.
  • Germany, Latin America — the money’s moving. You should too.

It’s Q3. We don’t play catch-up — we front-run the flows.
Want my chart on the capital rotation from dollar assets?

Until next time,

Garrett Baldwin

TheoTRADE

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