Blake Young, Author at TheoTrade

Someone is rigging the gold market. I watched it happen.

May 14, 2026

Hey trader, When you place a trade, you assume the prices on your screen are real. Real buyers. Real sellers. Real money willing to transact at those levels. That assumption can cost you. This morning on micro gold, I watched an algorithm fake those prices in real time. It dangled fake orders above and below the market like bait. Every time price got close, the bait moved. Traders who didn’t know what they were looking at walked right into stops they never should have hit. Here is what I saw, what’s actually going on, and how to spot it before it costs you on the next trade. A Quick Word On What I’m About To Show You Every futures contract has a list of pending orders waiting to fill. Buy orders below the current price. Sell orders above it. The list sits there for any trader to look at while

The best trade I made today was the one I didn’t take

May 12, 2026

Hey trader, The Nasdaq gave me a clean short signal today. The setup included a Bollinger Band breakout, a one count reversal with follow-through, and a clear target. I didn’t take it. The reason had nothing to do with the pattern and everything to do with the math behind it. The stop was 99.5 points wide. On a $5,000 account, that puts the trade outside my band of acceptable risk no matter how clean the chart looks. Here is the framework I used to make that call, and how to apply it in your own account. A Signal Is Not the Same as a Trade A signal tells you direction. The math tells you whether the trade fits the account in front of you. Position sizing is what connects the two. Skip that step and you end up taking valid signals that push you past your risk limits. One bad

For Whom The Bell Tolls

May 9, 2026

Hey trader, There is a poem called “For Whom the Bell Tolls.” Some of you thought that phrase was a Metallica lyric, and honestly, that is a fair assumption. Whether you first encountered it through John Donne’s original work or through the thunder of a Metallica riff, the underlying meaning applies to our daily lives, to these chaotic times, and most certainly to the markets. First, let’s start with the poem itself. For Whom the Bell Tolls by John Donne No man is an island, Entire of itself. Each is a piece of the continent, A part of the main. If a clod be washed away by the sea, Europe is the less. As well as if a promontory were. As well as if a manor of thine own Or of thine friend’s were. Each man’s death diminishes me, For I am involved in mankind. Therefore, send not to know

The Crude Short I Refused to Take This Morning

May 5, 2026

Hey trader, I had a clean bearish setup on crude this morning. Bollinger Band breakdown, monkey bar break, a couple of one-count reversals stacking up, a clean target down at 99.40. On any other instrument, that’s a trade I take without a second thought. I didn’t touch it. Then around 9:55 a UN Security Council headline crossed about US escorts through the Strait of Hormuz, and crude reversed off the lows, took out my would-be stop, and put in a new high before I could finish typing the chat message. The trade I didn’t take is the most important risk management decision I made all morning. It’s the kind of decision that quietly separates traders who survive this market from traders who don’t. And here’s how it all went down The setup was real Before I get into why I passed, I want to be honest about the signal itself.

The Two Bells Most Traders Don’t Know About

May 2, 2026

Hey trader, There are two bells that ring on Wall Street every morning. You know the first one. The second one is where the money actually moves, and most retail traders have never heard of it. The first bell costs you money every session. The second bell is where I take every trade I take. Friday’s session gave you both halves of the proof. A pre-10:00 loss on a Bollinger Band breakout that fired right into a PMI announcement. And a clean Beacon target on gold that hit while everyone else was still settling out from the open. Here is what the difference actually is, and why it matters for every trade you place from here on out. The 10% Club is built around one specific two-hour window every morning. Not 9:30. Not the chaos. The window where real liquidity shows up and real money gets made. 👉 Click here

The Euro Stopped Me Out Four Times

April 25, 2026

Hey trader, My textbook setup got run over on Friday. Long euro at 1.1742, stop at 1.1737, clean Bollinger Band breakout with a retest entry. The tape swept my stop and reversed. Then it did the same thing three more times to anyone who tried to chase it. If your breakouts have been dying like that, the problem is not your setup. The volume underneath the open is telling you exactly why valid breakouts keep failing, and once you see it, you can stop fighting a tape that no longer rewards early entries. Here is what I saw today and the three adjustments I am making on Monday. The Moment It Clicked for Me I pulled up gold and zoomed out on the volume. One bar spiked. The next went flat. Another spike. Another flat bar. That pattern repeated across the entire opening hour. It is not what a normal

The Math Most Traders Skip

April 23, 2026

Hey trader, Maybe you buy 100 shares per trade. Maybe you do $1,000 per trade. Maybe it’s one contract per trade. The average trader picks the same amount every time and calls it a plan. The thing is, that number has nothing to do with risk management. It is position sizing by default. So, when the trade goes wrong, the loss is whatever it turns out to be. There is a formula that removes the guesswork entirely. It tells you exactly how many contracts to trade on any setup, in any market, before the order goes in. Here is how to run it. What Contract Size Actually Tells You Futures traders are notorious for defaulting to one contract. Oftentimes, they’ll go with contract , whether it’s the mini or the micro. That’s not a risk level. It is a denomination. It doesn’t matter what you default to. You can trade

How Salesforce hit $191 almost to the penny today

April 21, 2026

Hey trader, Most traders enter a position with no objective idea of where price is actually going to stop. They pick a round number or a prior high. Then they hope. That guesswork costs you money. You cut your winners early because you have no conviction in the target. You hold losers past their breaking point. You size positions blindly because you never calculated how far the move should actually run. There is a way to project your next target using nothing but the channel price is already trading in. I used it on Salesforce today and price hit $191 almost to the penny. Here is the math. The Concept Behind Channel Duplication Price tends to move in repeatable patterns. When buyers and sellers establish a rhythm, they continue that rhythm at the same scale even after the trend changes direction. A $7 channel on the way down often

The Road Not Taken: What Frost Actually Meant

April 18, 2026

Hey trader, You’re watching crude oil push into a major resistance zone. Price has been climbing for days, fueled by Middle East tension and whispers that the Strait of Hormuz could be disrupted. Every headline is bullish. Every trader in the room is talking about how high it could go. Then, quietly, news breaks that the strait is reopening. The geopolitical premium baked into every barrel starts unwinding in real time. If you had a process, you saw it. If you had rules around topping signals at resistance with a catalyst shift, your entry was clear and your stop was tight. You were positioned for one of the biggest pullbacks crude had seen in years. The risk was minimal. The reward was substantial. But if you stood there frozen, debating whether the news was real or whether you should wait for one more confirmation, the opportunity moved without you.

The Alarm Nobody Hears

April 15, 2026

Hey trader, The S&P 500 is pushing toward a new all-time high. A significant number of the traders in this rally have never lived through a correction that lasted more than a few months. Their risk management reflects it. Position sizing, leverage, and recovery expectations are all calibrated to a single experience. COVID crashed the market, and it recovered in under a year. That one data point has shaped an entire generation of assumptions about what markets can do to you. The traders who survive prolonged drawdowns are never the ones who saw them coming. They are the ones who built their accounts to absorb the hit before it arrived. I am going to show you how to do that today. A Scene That Stuck With Me There is a movie from about 20 years ago called Miss Pettigrew Lives for a Day. It is set in post-World War II

	Today
08.00	OJ & Mac \| Overnight review \| FREE SESSION 08.30 09.20 Don Kaufman \| Early volatility 09.20 10.30 Jeff Bierman \| Market structure 10.30 11.30 Brandon Chapman \| Ghost Hour 11.30 12.30 Gianni Di Poce \| Macro overview 12.30 13.15 Corey Rosenbloom \| Options tactics 13.15 14.00
09.00
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11.00
12.00
13.00
14.00	Tony Rago \| Futures Trading 14.00 15.00
15.00	Blake Young & Mac Holbrook \| Market wrap 15.00 16.00

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