Blake Young, Author at TheoTrade

The Gold Breakout That Failed and Cost Me Nothing

July 16, 2026

Hey trader, A breakout that fails is where good accounts quietly bleed out. The entry looks clean. The target sits right there. Then price stalls, rolls over, and a loose stop hands back money you never had to lose. This morning was built for that mistake. The clean winners got away early, and the pull to force something into a stalling gold breakout was strong. I did not force it. Gold handed me a textbook failed breakout, and because my stop was trailed tight to structure, the reversal cost me nothing. Let me walk you through where the stop went and why a break even counted as a win today. The Breakout That Would Not Hold Gold broke out of its consolidation. I went long at 3999. The signal fired at 4001. By the time it posted, price had ticked back to 3999, so the fill came in at 3999

What Happens When Your Stop Loss Fails to Exit a Trade?

July 14, 2026

Hey trader, Stop losses are supposed to help you manage risk…right? But what happens when price blows straight through the level you picked…yet, somehow you are still in the trade, watching the loss grow by the second? A member ran into exactly that this morning. His stop was sitting right where it should have been. It just never got him out, and a small loss started turning into one that actually hurts. It turns out he made a common mistake I’ve seen countless times: mixing up the “type” of order. You see, he assumed a “stop” was simply that. But it’s not. A stop is a wait condition, not an actual order. It’s the action it triggers that matters. Once that clicks for you, you can build a stop that actually does its job when price reaches your line. Let me walk you through what your stop is really doing,

My Favorite Way to Set Trade Stops and Targets

July 8, 2026

Hey trader, Think back to the last trade that went green and then slid all the way back to your entry before you closed it. It makes you start to question yourself… …was my profit target too far…did I forget to take a profit? Chances are the stop was tied to the one number that does not matter to anyone but you: the entry price. That habit quietly turns a good winner into a scratch or even a loss. Fortunately, there is a better way to manage risk I’m going to show you today. You see, the market never really sees your entry. It’s buried underneath It only cares about order flow and what’s on the charts. That’s how you should set your stop and profit targets. Now, I’m not saying you should ignore the balance of risk and reward. But that defines whether you take the trade, not HOW

It’s All About Perspective

July 3, 2026

Hello trader, When it comes to trade execution, risk, position sizing, and targets, most of what I do in trading sticks to the math and the statistics. You might think there’s no room for perspective in a numbers-driven process, but there absolutely is. It just tends to show up after the fact, in how we interpret what already happened. Before I get into what that means for trading, let me tell you about a video I saw that made me rethink perspective entirely. In this clip, someone was visiting Disneyland, standing at the wishing well beside “Snow White.” The person tossed in a coin and said earnestly to the princess, “My wish is that you never eat another poison apple again.” If you know the 88 year old Disney classic, you know how the Evil Queen disguises herself and offers Snow White a poisoned apple, one that sends her into

The ES Trade This Morning, Broken Down Step by Step

July 1, 2026

Hey trader, A clean entry means nothing if you have no plan for the stop and the target. That is where the money leaks out. You get in on a good read….Then you manage on nerves. You yank the stop on a wick…You freeze when price finally reaches your number. This morning the ES handed me a textbook example. It came with one early signal, one confirmation, a stop I walked up the whole way, and a target drawn before the bell. I am going to give you that trade step by step. Entry, stop, add, and exit, exactly as I ran it, so you can copy the sequence on your own chart. Step 1: Draw Your Levels Before the Open Everything starts the night before, off yesterday’s high and low. I draw a beacon. That gives me a zero line for fair price and a projected target above it.

How To Get Paid During the ChopFest

June 27, 2026

Friday handed you a tape with nothing in it. Crude knifed to fresh lows again and again. The equities locked up for an hour and a half. They ground out lower highs and lower lows. A tape like that bleeds an account one scalp at a time. You force a click, you get chopped, you force another. When a member asked me about an oil name during that stall, I walked through a calmer way to get paid. It is a setup that could collect 2.3% in a month on a stock worth owning, with a 4.6% cushion before any trouble. Here is the idea I laid out on ConocoPhillips. A Tape That Pays You Nothing for Trying For most of Friday the equities went sideways. No follow-through came in either direction. Crude was its own mess. It melted to new lows all session. The fast money kept clicking into

Why $68 Oil Should Worry You More Than $100 Did

June 24, 2026

Hey trader, Cheap oil feels like a gift: Lower gas, lower costs, more money in your pocket. For a trader holding stocks, that gift can be a warning in disguise. Folks forget we are in the middle of a conflict that hasn’t been resolved. Roughly 1.5 billion barrels are missing from global supply. Global oil inventories have been depleted. Crude sat at $68 to $70 all morning. A price that low, with a backdrop that tight, should not exist. The supply side alone cannot explain it. The oil market’s refusal to rally tells us something key: the problem is no longer supply…it’s demand. Today I want to show you the math I ran on crude this morning, why a stubbornly cheap barrel is a recession flare, and what it means for every position you hold. The Price That Should Not Exist Crude has fallen from around $100 a barrel down

Why My Politics Never Touch My Crude Stop

June 20, 2026

Hey trader, How you feel about a headline can quietly steer your money… …and it’s exactly where good weeks go to die. Crude flashed a clean short more than once this session. Clicking it would have felt obvious. The danger is letting your read on the news, your side of the politics, decide where your stop goes. I passed on every one of those shorts. I want to show you the single question I ran on crude each time it tempted me. It is the same question that keeps me out of the trade that erases a month. A Clean Signal Is Not Always a Tradeable One Crude broke through the lower Bollinger Band more than once today. On the chart, that is a short, plain and simple. A breakout like that is a trade I would take on almost any other instrument. The entry was clean. The structure lined

How I Lost on the Only Trade I Took and Still Protected My Account

June 17, 2026

Hey trader, The trade that wrecks an account is almost never the one you got wrong on direction… …It is the one you handle badly after it turns against you. Wednesday was a Fed day. The tape was narrow, choppy, and driven by headlines instead of clean structure. I took exactly one trade. It lost. The win here is what that loss actually cost me. I walked the risk down to about 1% of the account and went home. I am going to give you the exact MES short, every stop I moved, and the habit that turned a bad trade into a small one. The Only Setup Worth Clicking Most of the morning gave nothing. It was a Fed day with narrow ranges across the board, so I doubled the beacon range to filter out the fake breakouts. That filter killed almost every signal. Crude was no trade.

Why I Didn’t Take This Crude Short Signal

June 15, 2026

Hey trader, Peace broke out this weekend. Sunday futures saw equities climb and crude oil plunge. I couldn’t wait for Monday’s trades. During my morning session, crude flashed a clean sell signal this morning. My system fired the short, and it did it more than once… Yet… I let every one of them go by. Clicking that short would have felt obvious. While gut feelings aren’t enough, they point you to personal experience and learning. Which reminded me of a HUGE trap traders fall for… The biggest losses in this business rarely come from a bad signal…They come from a good signal taken on the wrong side of a surprise. Today I want to show you how I separate a signal that is valid from a signal that is worth trading. And there is one question I run on crude before I ever touch it. The Signal Was Real Crude

	Today
08.00	OJ & Mac \| Overnight review \| FREE SESSION 08.30 09.20 Don Kaufman \| Early volatility 09.20 10.30 Jeff Bierman \| Market structure 10.30 11.30 Brandon Chapman \| Ghost Hour 11.30 12.30 Gianni Di Poce \| Macro overview 12.30 13.15 Corey Rosenbloom \| Options tactics 13.15 14.00
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14.00	Tony Rago \| Futures Trading 14.00 15.00
15.00	Blake Young & Mac Holbrook \| Market wrap 15.00 16.00

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