Blake Young, Author at TheoTrade

Why $68 Oil Should Worry You More Than $100 Did

June 24, 2026

Hey trader, Cheap oil feels like a gift: Lower gas, lower costs, more money in your pocket. For a trader holding stocks, that gift can be a warning in disguise. Folks forget we are in the middle of a conflict that hasn’t been resolved. Roughly 1.5 billion barrels are missing from global supply. Global oil inventories have been depleted. Crude sat at $68 to $70 all morning. A price that low, with a backdrop that tight, should not exist. The supply side alone cannot explain it. The oil market’s refusal to rally tells us something key: the problem is no longer supply…it’s demand. Today I want to show you the math I ran on crude this morning, why a stubbornly cheap barrel is a recession flare, and what it means for every position you hold. The Price That Should Not Exist Crude has fallen from around $100 a barrel down

Why My Politics Never Touch My Crude Stop

June 20, 2026

Hey trader, How you feel about a headline can quietly steer your money… …and it’s exactly where good weeks go to die. Crude flashed a clean short more than once this session. Clicking it would have felt obvious. The danger is letting your read on the news, your side of the politics, decide where your stop goes. I passed on every one of those shorts. I want to show you the single question I ran on crude each time it tempted me. It is the same question that keeps me out of the trade that erases a month. A Clean Signal Is Not Always a Tradeable One Crude broke through the lower Bollinger Band more than once today. On the chart, that is a short, plain and simple. A breakout like that is a trade I would take on almost any other instrument. The entry was clean. The structure lined

How I Lost on the Only Trade I Took and Still Protected My Account

June 17, 2026

Hey trader, The trade that wrecks an account is almost never the one you got wrong on direction… …It is the one you handle badly after it turns against you. Wednesday was a Fed day. The tape was narrow, choppy, and driven by headlines instead of clean structure. I took exactly one trade. It lost. The win here is what that loss actually cost me. I walked the risk down to about 1% of the account and went home. I am going to give you the exact MES short, every stop I moved, and the habit that turned a bad trade into a small one. The Only Setup Worth Clicking Most of the morning gave nothing. It was a Fed day with narrow ranges across the board, so I doubled the beacon range to filter out the fake breakouts. That filter killed almost every signal. Crude was no trade.

Why I Didn’t Take This Crude Short Signal

June 15, 2026

Hey trader, Peace broke out this weekend. Sunday futures saw equities climb and crude oil plunge. I couldn’t wait for Monday’s trades. During my morning session, crude flashed a clean sell signal this morning. My system fired the short, and it did it more than once… Yet… I let every one of them go by. Clicking that short would have felt obvious. While gut feelings aren’t enough, they point you to personal experience and learning. Which reminded me of a HUGE trap traders fall for… The biggest losses in this business rarely come from a bad signal…They come from a good signal taken on the wrong side of a surprise. Today I want to show you how I separate a signal that is valid from a signal that is worth trading. And there is one question I run on crude before I ever touch it. The Signal Was Real Crude

3 Lessons From an Extremely Volatile Week

June 13, 2026

Hey trader, This week the tape whipped in both directions. It never settled into a trend. Five sessions brought sharp reversals and a wild Tuesday open. A surprise tweet even flipped a live position in seconds. Traders who tried to predict every turn paid for it. The 10% Club still closed the week green at +$195.25. That result had little to do with calling direction. It came from three habits that protect capital when volatility takes over. Here is how each one played out in real trades. Lesson 1: In a trendless tape, small losses win the week Monday handed us one beacon signal across every tracked market. We took the MES short. Price stopped us out for 4 points. The loss was $20. Then price ran 25 points higher to the beacon anchor. A stop left fixed in place would have turned a $20 scratch into real damage. We

How I Turned a Stalled Trade into a +$118 Profit

June 11, 2026

Hey trader, You can do everything right on a trade and still give the win back… The entry is clean…the target is in sight…then price stalls…doubt creeps in…except for me. When you have numbers drawn before the bell and a methodology like the one I teach in 10% club behind you, decisions become mechanical. Sounds too good to be true? Well, the euro did exactly that today. It paused two ticks from my target and sat there for more than twenty minutes. Holding for that last sliver risks a reversal that erases the gain. Bailing too early means leaving money I had already earned. Without a plan, a moment like that is pure guessing. With a plan, I locked in $118.75 before lunch. All it took was one level – one level that made my exit obvious. Let’s walk through the trade step by step so you learn exactly how

How I Kept Hitting Targets to the Tick on Tuesday’s Crash Tape

June 9, 2026

Hey trader, Tuesday was a mess. The VIX ripped to 20. The indices knifed through May’s lows. On a tape like that, the levels you drew at the open are already junk. Price runs right through them. It grabs your stop a tick early, then turns and leaves without you. One read held up anyway. I look for the spot where one side got run over on the chart. Whoever got steamrolled left orders sitting there. Price comes back for them almost every time. That spot becomes my next target. I called it on the NASDAQ, the ES, and crude Tuesday, and price walked right into the levels. So let me hand you the whole thing: How to mark those spots. How to trade into them. Where to tuck your stop so the crowd gets swept and you don’t. A Violent Tape Is Where This Earns Its Keep On a

Why Some Traders Refuse Winning Trades

June 8, 2026

A winning trade on paper isn’t enough. You still won’t take it. Not because you won’t understand it. The math is simple, and I’ll walk you through every step. You won’t take it because of what it asks you to feel, and that turns out to be the hardest thing in this business. Here’s a trade I worked through this morning in the TheoTrade Chat. I risk 6 points to make 16.5. That’s the whole shape of it: a small, defined loss if I’m wrong, a move about 2.5x bigger if I’m right. Now the only question that matters. How often do I have to be right for that to make money? Add them. 6 plus 16.5 is 22.5. Divide the risk by the total — 6 into 22.5 — and you get just under 27%. So I need to be right barely more than 1 time in 4. I

Everything is a Pairs Trade

June 6, 2026

Hey trader, As many of you know, I’ve been trading for 26 years and teaching for most of that time. Countless times, on days that saw huge moves in the U.S. dollar, I’d get the question: “How do I sell (or buy) the dollar?” To help the questioner think it through, I’d respond, “What do you want to own?” There are two concepts here that tie into one idea. Money in the markets is like matter. It is neither created nor destroyed, only changing state. There is no such thing as a standalone transaction. You can’t buy something without selling something else. You can’t sell something without buying something. You will always be long one instrument and short another. These two thoughts tie into one idea: everything is a pairs trade, expressed as Base/Quote. If you are buying, or long, the base, you are selling, or short, the quote. The

How a Six-Pip Squeeze Gave Me the Only Clean Trade of the Day

June 4, 2026

Hey trader, A dead tape is where accounts quietly bleed out. The screen looks full of setups. Every one of them takes a few dollars and hands you nothing back. Thursday morning was exactly that. Gold stopped me out. Crude chopped sideways. The indexes ran higher without me on board. One chart was doing something different. The euro had wound itself into the tightest range on my screen. Six pips, top to bottom. That squeeze was the only real signal of the morning. It paid $87.50 on a single contract while everything else gave money back. Here’s how I read the coil and traded the break on the 6E. The Tape Going In The morning opened slow and stayed slow. Gold gave me a beacon breakout, ran a little, then reversed the whole move and tagged my stop before I could adjust a thing. Crude kept poking at its level

	Today
08.00	OJ & Mac \| Overnight review \| FREE SESSION 08.30 09.20 Don Kaufman \| Early volatility 09.20 10.30 Jeff Bierman \| Market structure 10.30 11.30 Brandon Chapman \| Ghost Hour 11.30 12.30 Gianni Di Poce \| Macro overview 12.30 13.15 Corey Rosenbloom \| Options tactics 13.15 14.00
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14.00	Tony Rago \| Futures Trading 14.00 15.00
15.00	Blake Young & Mac Holbrook \| Market wrap 15.00 16.00

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