Blake Young, Author at TheoTrade

It Was All About Camp Floyd Back Then

May 23, 2026

Hey Trader, Roughly 40 years ago, my dad, my brothers, and I went camping in an area called Camp Floyd. It is a fascinating little place that was home to the Camp Floyd Pony Express Station, also known as the Fairfield Station. Situated in the small town of Fairfield, Utah, just a short distance from the military camp, the station was originally an adobe inn built by settler John Carson. It was no ordinary stop. Unlike the small, sparse desert shacks typical of the Pony Express route, the Fairfield Station was a comfortable two-story adobe and frame building. It served as a hotel for notable historical figures, including Mark Twain and Sir Richard Burton. It was an important and notably luxurious waypoint for riders. What began as an interesting and historic place to camp soon became something far more meaningful. One of my older brothers, feeling adventurous, decided that he

How to Trade Growth Hiding Right Below Our Southern Border

May 21, 2026

Hey trader, An ETF representing an entire country just put up 29% over the last year. It is not a tech stock. It is not a meme name. It is Mexico. The story has been hiding right below our southern border the whole time. Almost nobody in the US is paying attention because we are too busy watching the next tweet move the S&P 20 points in either direction. Capital is moving. Factories are being built. The currency has already repriced. Here is the deal. The chart is sitting in a five-month consolidation with a clear target overhead. The capital flow story explains why the chart looks the way it does. The options chain is paying enough premium to make the trade work even if the breakout takes another six months to show up. All three pieces matter. That is what I want to walk through. Forget the Politics. Follow

I Made One Good Trade Today Amidst a Slaughterhouse

May 19, 2026

Hey trader, Today’s tape was the kind that quietly takes traders apart. Failed Bollinger Band breakouts on the ES… …A Nasdaq signal that triggered already a third of the way to its target. The Russell breaking out and immediately reversing. Six small trades, $10 here, $13 there, all of it commissions in the pocket of someone else. If you traded the same chop I traded after 10:30 this morning, you know the feeling. The signals look real, the math says take them, and the market hands them back to you in pieces. But the day wasn’t a loss. One trade right at the open paid $174 on the official call and over $250 for traders who sized it as a channel breakout. That one trade carried the entire session. In a market this difficult, the difference between a green day and a red one is recognizing which setup deserves your

Why I’ll Always Take the Coin Flip

May 16, 2026

Hey trader, A 50/50 trade with a 5-to-1 payout is one of the most rational bets you can find on a chart. Skip enough of these and you bleed out slowly while never taking a single “bad” trade in your life. Yesterday morning, I shorted the euro at 1.1645 with a 7.5-pip stop and a 33-pip target. That put the trade at better than 4-to-1, and I was willing to be wrong on it more than half the time. Here is the trade, the math behind why it got the click, and the rules I use to spot setups like this before they leave the screen. A Coin Flip Is Not the Same as a Bad Trade The phrase “coin flip” gets thrown around in trading rooms like it means reckless. It should not. A coin flip is only a bad trade when the payoff matches the odds. 50/50 with

Someone is rigging the gold market. I watched it happen.

May 14, 2026

Hey trader, When you place a trade, you assume the prices on your screen are real. Real buyers. Real sellers. Real money willing to transact at those levels. That assumption can cost you. This morning on micro gold, I watched an algorithm fake those prices in real time. It dangled fake orders above and below the market like bait. Every time price got close, the bait moved. Traders who didn’t know what they were looking at walked right into stops they never should have hit. Here is what I saw, what’s actually going on, and how to spot it before it costs you on the next trade. A Quick Word On What I’m About To Show You Every futures contract has a list of pending orders waiting to fill. Buy orders below the current price. Sell orders above it. The list sits there for any trader to look at while

The best trade I made today was the one I didn’t take

May 12, 2026

Hey trader, The Nasdaq gave me a clean short signal today. The setup included a Bollinger Band breakout, a one count reversal with follow-through, and a clear target. I didn’t take it. The reason had nothing to do with the pattern and everything to do with the math behind it. The stop was 99.5 points wide. On a $5,000 account, that puts the trade outside my band of acceptable risk no matter how clean the chart looks. Here is the framework I used to make that call, and how to apply it in your own account. A Signal Is Not the Same as a Trade A signal tells you direction. The math tells you whether the trade fits the account in front of you. Position sizing is what connects the two. Skip that step and you end up taking valid signals that push you past your risk limits. One bad

For Whom The Bell Tolls

May 9, 2026

Hey trader, There is a poem called “For Whom the Bell Tolls.” Some of you thought that phrase was a Metallica lyric, and honestly, that is a fair assumption. Whether you first encountered it through John Donne’s original work or through the thunder of a Metallica riff, the underlying meaning applies to our daily lives, to these chaotic times, and most certainly to the markets. First, let’s start with the poem itself. For Whom the Bell Tolls by John Donne No man is an island, Entire of itself. Each is a piece of the continent, A part of the main. If a clod be washed away by the sea, Europe is the less. As well as if a promontory were. As well as if a manor of thine own Or of thine friend’s were. Each man’s death diminishes me, For I am involved in mankind. Therefore, send not to know

The Crude Short I Refused to Take This Morning

May 5, 2026

Hey trader, I had a clean bearish setup on crude this morning. Bollinger Band breakdown, monkey bar break, a couple of one-count reversals stacking up, a clean target down at 99.40. On any other instrument, that’s a trade I take without a second thought. I didn’t touch it. Then around 9:55 a UN Security Council headline crossed about US escorts through the Strait of Hormuz, and crude reversed off the lows, took out my would-be stop, and put in a new high before I could finish typing the chat message. The trade I didn’t take is the most important risk management decision I made all morning. It’s the kind of decision that quietly separates traders who survive this market from traders who don’t. And here’s how it all went down The setup was real Before I get into why I passed, I want to be honest about the signal itself.

The Two Bells Most Traders Don’t Know About

May 2, 2026

Hey trader, There are two bells that ring on Wall Street every morning. You know the first one. The second one is where the money actually moves, and most retail traders have never heard of it. The first bell costs you money every session. The second bell is where I take every trade I take. Friday’s session gave you both halves of the proof. A pre-10:00 loss on a Bollinger Band breakout that fired right into a PMI announcement. And a clean Beacon target on gold that hit while everyone else was still settling out from the open. Here is what the difference actually is, and why it matters for every trade you place from here on out. The 10% Club is built around one specific two-hour window every morning. Not 9:30. Not the chaos. The window where real liquidity shows up and real money gets made. 👉 Click here

The Euro Stopped Me Out Four Times

April 25, 2026

Hey trader, My textbook setup got run over on Friday. Long euro at 1.1742, stop at 1.1737, clean Bollinger Band breakout with a retest entry. The tape swept my stop and reversed. Then it did the same thing three more times to anyone who tried to chase it. If your breakouts have been dying like that, the problem is not your setup. The volume underneath the open is telling you exactly why valid breakouts keep failing, and once you see it, you can stop fighting a tape that no longer rewards early entries. Here is what I saw today and the three adjustments I am making on Monday. The Moment It Clicked for Me I pulled up gold and zoomed out on the volume. One bar spiked. The next went flat. Another spike. Another flat bar. That pattern repeated across the entire opening hour. It is not what a normal

	Today
08.00	OJ & Mac \| Overnight review \| FREE SESSION 08.30 09.20 Don Kaufman \| Early volatility 09.20 10.30 Jeff Bierman \| Market structure 10.30 11.30 Brandon Chapman \| Ghost Hour 11.30 12.30 Gianni Di Poce \| Macro overview 12.30 13.15 Corey Rosenbloom \| Options tactics 13.15 14.00
09.00
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12.00
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14.00	Tony Rago \| Futures Trading 14.00 15.00
15.00	Blake Young & Mac Holbrook \| Market wrap 15.00 16.00

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