XLF Stock Watch

XLF Stock Watch The market gave up most of the gains from Friday as each rally is met with a new wave of sellers. In a volatile market predictability goes out the window. All I'm doing is selling out of the money premium and that's all I'm recommending right now. The most ominous aspect of…

Bear Market Rally

Bear Market Rally Is this a bear market rally? I believe it is. Let's take a look at the market divergences which are tell tale signs of a bear market. Volatility futures are still telling me risk is imminent. The most precarious area is the financials that didn't perform as well as the rest of…

Stocks to buy

Stocks to Buy Any stocks to buy? It does seem like stocks are on sale as the S&P has already hit a 52 week low. If you're looking at stocks to buy here are some guidelines. You wanna find stocks that have shown relevant strength compared to the overall market. Here are a few example…

Trading Volatility

Trading Volatility Just when it looks like it's all over the markets rally higher. This is the type of day I've been looking for. The S&P Futures low of 1804 may be a short term bottom, but keep in mind the S&P was still off 20 handles today. Volatility is the name of the game…

Stocks Sell off

Stocks Sell off Strength got sold again. The market environment is one of fear and hesitation. The indexes across the board are being dragged lower and lower. Stocks aren't able to find a support level. Each gap higher has been quickly filled. If you're not already short this market then it's best to keep your…

Selling Premium

Selling Premium This is a premium sellers market not a directional traders market. Everyone is eyeing volatility because that's what will dictate this market. Yes there are some big earnings announcements this week like NFLX and a few bank stocks. The market though is broken and volatility has exploded higher. Is there any are of…

Stock Market Capitulation

Stock Market Capitulation Stock market capitulation day. This is the type of action you wanna see when the market throws in the towel. After some heavy sell side activity culminating with record negative ticks the markets rip higher. As we look at the activity we look at the possibility of a short term rally. Keep…

Stock Market Crash 2016

Stock Market Crash 2016 The word of the day is tumultuous. We still can't get any type of relief rally in stocks. At the same time there doesn't seem to be any capitulation in sight. The VIX is at a moderate level and we haven't seen a big spike higher that would indicate traders are…

Bonds and Stocks Relationship

Bonds and Stocks Relationship Another roller coaster day, but today finished positive. The bleeding has stopped temporarily. Is there more upside? After such a down move there is always that potential. Stocks went higher and bonds went higher. Does something have to give? It is not likely that we will see stocks and bonds continue…

Oil Futures ETF

Oil Futures ETF A wild roller coaster in the markets that ended massively unchanged. Where is the bounce everyone is looking for? Maybe it's not happening because everyone is looking for it. 1900 is a big number though. I know many of you are waiting for that bounce to get out of positions. If we…