The Manic Rotation Game Continues
This morning the advanced decline line ran 90 products up, 10 down. The S&Ps rallied right alongside it. I watched it happen live and said out loud, “This is not good.” Strong breadth reads as healthy. Lately it has signaled the opposite. Every time breadth spikes like this, capital rips violently out of tech. That rotation is hitting a crescendo right now. The S&P sits locked in place. NASDAQ volatility is sky high. We have one of the largest divergences on record between NASDAQ volatility and S&P volatility. VXN is elevated. The VIX is completely dead. That gap explains this entire tape. Correlations are broken, so the rotation game runs the whole show. The option market prices a weekly range it expects to hold 68% of the time. Apple shattered it. This week Apple posted a two and a half standard deviation move. That is earnings announcement magnitude on a