[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Today’s ISM Manufacturing numbers were a clear reflection of what many are assuming about the economy. However, if we’re all assuming it, does that mean that the recessionary scenario is priced in? If you look at the increase in short interest it does, but surprises are always that order of the day. (RIVN, NKLA, TSM, MU, TIP, PEP, MNST, EEM)…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] -Bad news is back to good? -GDP declines… again! -PCE flyin’ high- inflation matters? -Earnings are bifurcated! -AAPL, AMZN, INTC, ROKU, PG, XOM -mega market cap saves the day -IV drops but realized vol still flying -reality of the rally -bears done or is this just the beginning? -SKEW, I think it moved? -VIX floor? SPX Expected Move — –last week —  97.38   (expected move) –next week–  80.79  (expected move)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] We continue our volatile news and earnings-fueled trading week with leading market cap stocks Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN) along with Intel (INTC) reporting their earnings after the bell – and it the earnings outcomes were mixed. In tonight’s video, we focus on the earnings-based expected move price targets, whether these (and other) stocks are within expectations or outside of them and then highlight the key price level the SP500 (SPX) traded straight up into at the close of today’s session…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] FOMC raises 75 basis points which was expected. Jerome Powell’s comments were slightly more dovish than expected which led to a massive rally. Here’s what to expect the rest of the week…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] This week remains a big one with news, volatility, earnings, and the Federal Reserve announcement Wednesday afternoon. In tonight’s video, we briefly highlight the after-hours movement of key market cap leaders Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) which just reported earnings – but they weren’t the only ones to do so. We also take a top-down look at the broader stock and bond market levels as we prepare for another Fed Funds Rate hike tomorrow afternoon – and what it could mean for markets and our trades…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] A big week for data ahead as the FOMC policy statement and Advance 2Q GDP are released. With energy prices rebounding, and agricultural stocks surge, it appears that the stagflationary story is almost complete. (MOS, TLT, GE, SLV, PBR, RIOT, BITO)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] –FMOC is BACK, markets say 75bps –sector recap –respect the move in SNAP –fear the moves in T and VZ –big week for tech earnings / calendar packed –dollar weak, bonds strong, equites weak –metals to make a comeback! –Vol trade, low VVIX won’t last SPX Expected Move — –last week —  87.83   (expected move) –next week–  97.38   (expected move)

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Equities crept higher yet again today as traders took in the earnings from Tesla (TSLA) and other major stocks. In tonight’s video, we pinpoint the “bear market rally” potential targets and what it was like earlier in 2022 in a similar rally. Finally, we highlight stocks playing either direction from earnings in today’s session and what to expect on Friday with a handful of stocks reporting earnings ahead of another active week…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] The market has rallied nicely over the past week and it may be setting up for the fall in the coming weeks to months. Is it a good time to buy with the hopes that the Fed will navigate this bear market into the next bull in 2023? (MRO, BG, TLRY, XLB)…

[video_player type=”embed” style=”1″ dimensions=”640×360″ width=”640″ height=”360″ align=”center” margin_top=”0″ margin_bottom=”20″ ipad_color=”black”][/video_player] Netflix (NFLX) reported earnings right after the bell Tuesday and shares surged right on the announcement – but will they hold going into Wednesday morning? And what price levels did the option market price in? And finally, what levels are the market pricing in for Tesla (TSLA) shares on its earnings after the bell Wednesday? Find out and get a broader market perspective as well in tonight’s video update…