FED Induced Asset Implosion Underway?

Bond/Tech Dynamic–FED, rates, balance sheet–economic reports and Fed Speak Critical Market Levels ––/ES 4500 and below is shear market carnage–NASDAQ oversold 30 day, 1 hour–Lack of volatility movement on selling–Mega market caps to watch–Correlation non-existent Bitcoin Sell-off–Implications and Correlations Enter Earnings Season!–JPM, C, WFC SPX Expected Move––last week — 62.48 (expected move)–next week — 75.98

Read More »

Fear the FED?

The FED reared its unfriendly head this afternoon as signs of a selloff began to show going into the close. Volatility appeared to be somewhat flat overall though, so, was it fear driving this market move? Tune into to Don’s video tonight and find out…

Read More »

A Peek Beneath the All Time Highs – Sector Shear and How it’s Playing Out

If you watch financial news headlines tonight, you’re likely to hear about the market making another new all time high. While true, that’s not the entire picture and a quick look under the highs in the Dow and SP500 tell a very different story. In tonight’s video, we step inside the market and reveal what’s happening in bonds and how it’s splitting financial and tech stocks…

Read More »

Big Bets Being Made for First Trading Day of the Year

What a time to make known your expectations for the year and that’s what traders were doing today. Today’s video looks at some of the large unusual option activity that is pointing to big moves this week, the next six months and the coming year. (F, TSLA, GLD, SLV, AAPL)…

Read More »

2022 a Premium Sellers Paradise?

SKEWtacular––SKEW 200 day moving avg 147.00!–back month skew higher–lower vol has brought higher skew–VIX takes a back seat Premium Selling Dynamics––realized vol vs Imp Vol–Lower Vol = Xmas Tree Spreads with VIX hedges–Higher Vol pure premium selling SPX Expected Move —–last week — 72.40 (expected move)–next week– 62.48

Read More »

Tight Range Continues for End of Year Trades

In Tuesday’s video we highlighted the chance of a pullback in the market and that’s occurring in some key stocks while the broader market remains flat and rangebound for the final trading week of 2021. With one more day left to trade in 2021, what are we watching, what levels are important targets, and how might the market enter 2022? Find out in tonight’s video…

Read More »

Expected Move, Skew, and You!

It looks like we’ve been riding the upper edge of the expected move all week. So, what does that mean? Join Don in tonight’s video as he explains how he defines what the expected move is from week to week and how you can apply it to your trades…

Read More »

Santa Comes Strong with Best Start in 20 Years

If anyone was in doubt, Santa came to town today with the strongest start on the first day of a Santa Claus rally in 20 years. The numbers show that this could be a good end of year squeeze higher. Looking at today’s option activity, it’s clear who’s at the top of Santa’s list…

Read More »
Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

Read Don's full bio


Most Recent

Christmas Tree Spread: How a Ratio Put Tree Works
Trading Is a Haunted House: Don’t Run Into the Wall
How a 25-Point Morning Turned Into a 100-Handle Hole
What Retail Going All In Tells You
Why This Gold And Silver Correction Has My Attention

Get educational market insights sent right to your inbox.