Extreme Volatility Decimates Retail Trade

Stocks open the week massively lower dropping below the expected for the whole week before coming back inside of it at the close. If the market can’t hold the weekly expected move it opens the door for much more serious correction. The FOMC announcement on Wednesday could be a catalyst in either direction. Here’s how the stocks I told you to watch over the weekend fared…

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Fed, China, Tapering…Here Comes the RISK

—risk and movement week well inside expected—volatility update—we have yet to scrape the surface of risk —Retail options traders panic sell—liquidating calls in key stock driving markets lower—AAPL, FB, MSFT —asset classes and correlation—bonds down, rates up, goodnight tech Tech Players from last week driving today’ selling—-NVDA-GOOGL-MSFT-FB SPX Expected Move––last week EM– 115.27–next week–  95.29    expected move

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The Market Still Hovers Over the Abyss

While Wednesday gave the market a bounce, Thursday morning’s selling took us back to lows ahead of yet another afternoon rally. In tonight’s video we update the “make or break” plan going forward and highlight prior trend reversals and what to expect now. We also pinpoint two stocks at new annual lows and what that might mean…

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Bulls Got their Groove Back?

Stocks explode higher, but is this a bounce to new all time highs or a rally to short? Watch tonight’s video newsletter to find out the 4 stocks to watch over the next 2 days that will tell you for sure. Lots of trading opportunity left in the week…

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Energy Leads as the Retail Herd Finds Uranium and Forecast Looks Cold

Energy as a sector led the way as the outlook for winter weather looks colder than normal. As a result, oil and gas stocks found buyers on Monday (EOG, MRO, OVV). Uranium stocks have been going parabolic of late as inflows into funds like URNM have picked up. That’s led to significant option activity in companies like CCJ…

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Why Does Mild Selling Feel Like Massive Risk?

Market Upadate––SPX Lower EM breach!–Bonds selling off and financials down–Big Banks get Bearish–why we need to watch vol futures Big Tech Deeply Concerning––Monsters of Tech Market Cap–NVDA–GOOGL–FB–MSFT SPX Expected Move––last week EM– 50.13–next week–  115.27  expected move

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What Levels are Targets in the Fall-back Market?

We’re indeed seeing the market pull back from our overbought levels on another “rubber band snap-back” just after last week’s bullish holiday drift to new highs. What price levels are today’s targets and what key level was spot on in today’s session? Find out in tonight’s video where we also see a surprise from LULU…

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Big Tech Overdue for a Big Fall?

Big tech stocks that have led the market higher have stalled. Implied volatility remains higher than historical volatility in the tech heavy NASDAQ. Here’s why you should keep an eye on the weekly expected move in the SPX tomorrow…

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Did Steph Curry Just Call the Top?

Crypto carnage was the order of the day as the Nasdaq eked out a new all-time high. As breadth and crypto crashed, NBA player Steph Curry is looking to his community for answers. Could this be the final nail in the bulls coffin, some UOA activity seems to think so..

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

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