Will September Live Up to the Volatility Hype?

–Holiday trade drives SP500 into a low vol slopfest–NFP takes a nose dive, weak Chinese data–Financials tank, tech rips–Bonds are back in play September Volatility Spike?–VIX, VVIX–9 day VIX vs 3 month VIX–contango is massive–volatility depth chart–SKEW has been relentless–exogenous shock needed to kick off Sep vol fest SPX Expected Move––last week EM– 57.49–next week–  50.13  expected move

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Market Drifts Higher into Monthly Jobs Report

We did indeed see continued “bullish holiday drift” this week as the market prepares and positions ahead of the Monthly Jobs Report released pre-market Friday morning. In tonight’s video, we pinpoint the probabilities, price levels, and scan what’s happening in leading stocks along with Bonds, Oil, and Gold before the big weekly event…

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Are we Facing Another Drifter-Up Week for Stocks?

This week has the potential to be a low volume, possibly low volatility drift where stocks can float higher, especially if we don’t see any major headline news or events that would stop the drift.  In tonight’s report, we highlight this plan and what levels are in play along with which key financial and tech stocks are in play and most likely to affect the broader market – and one surprise stock you may have missed today…

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SEC & PYPL Boyz Take the HOOD

News from SEC and Paypal Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: PYPL) caused panic selling in Robinhood Markets Inc (NASDAQ: HOOD). As Support.com, Inc (NASDAQ: SPRT) reaches its terminal velocity, the options market is lining up it’s list of candidates for the next short squeeze..

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Game Changing Rally?

—Fed ignites rippin rally on dovish tone—Bonds played little role in the rally—SPX ends week dead-on upper EM—Russel decides Jerome Powell is a Demigod Volatility abnormalities–—1 year implied volatility screams risk—short term imp vol crushed— realized vol still dead—skew sky high Trade Opportunities–—premium selling continues to dominate—volatility crush opens up vix trades—Chinese markets SPX Expected Move––last week EM– 67.73–next week–  57.49  expected move

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Pullback Plays in Motion ahead of Federal Reserve Annual Meeting

We’re getting our sell-side activity and “pullback from all-time highs” today as the market prepares for Friday’s potential volatility from any major headline from the Federal Reserve’s Annual Meeting and speech by the Fed Chair. In tonight’s video we pinpoint the key focal trading levels and go outside equities to trade Crude Oil, Bonds, and even Gold…

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Are the Markets Paralyzed with Fed Induced Fear?

Trading volume remains lows as market participants wait for the Jackson Hole meeting. The SPX is very close to the upper end of the weekly expected move. With Jerome Powell’s talk Friday morning the market is at risk of exploding over the expected move or backing off…

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Setting up a Snapback from All Time Highs

This time was not any different than the last six pullbacks that set the stage for a quick rally back to all time highs in the SP500 but if this time is like the others, then we’re setting up our seventh pullback swing of 2021. Still the small cap Russell 2000 RTY lags behind in a sideways range and we finish tonight’s video highlighting the handful of strongly trending stocks breaking with the market to new highs…

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

Read Don's full bio


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