Will Fragile Markets Fold Under FED Taper Talk?

Market Breakdown––All time high to breakdown and back–Intraday Ranges/Realized vol explodes–Bonds on the back burner–Call volume explodes as retail fights back–Oil indicative of the economy to come?–Dollar on the verge of breakout–China Big Price Action––financials–energy–tech holding it together–MSFT, NVDA — gamma gone wild FED––loud and clear, we have taper talk–Jackson Hole SPX weekly EM vs one day movement SPX Expected Move–last week EM– 49.97–next week–  67.73  expected move

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Here’s our Pullback but Will This Time Be Any Different?

Stocks sold off this week on “Fed Taper” headlines but in tonight’s video, we highlight six to seven similar pullbacks in the 2021 market and what the outcome was then. Will this time be different and should it? Find out as we study what key levels we’re pinpointing in tonight’s video…

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A Sell-off, Retail Earnings, and the Fed – what’s Ahead

Today was a volatile session for stocks as retail names including Home Depot (HD), Lowe’s (LOW), and others sold off sharply along with the broader market where equity indexes were down 1% today. The week ahead has added volatility from additional key earnings releases and the Federal Reserve’s annual meeting and speeches this week so keep your trades close and stay safe with the headline and market risk in play right now…

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Are Markets Stalling a Sign of Risks to Come?

Realized Volatility is DEAD –SPY vs QQQ–implied vol 50% higher in the QQQ–bizarre when Bonds move more than indices Volume is DEAD–SPUZ think is x-mas break!–gamma risk continues to mount–bonds volumes still rockin’ means this…–retail trade is down and out SPX Expected Move–last week EM– 48.34–next week– 49.97 expected move

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SP500 Breaks New High on Worrisome Volume and Internals

If you only see the headlines, you’ll likely celebrate the positive news of another new high in the stock market. However, take a quick look beneath the headline and you’ll be shocked to learn that new high was made on extremely weak volume and internals which should give you pause. In tonight’s video, Corey highlights this development and what it means for the immediate future of the market…

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Commodities SKID as Biotech and EVs Bid

Gold and oil see red as biotech and EVs were bid strongly (QS, PLUG, FCEL). The option activity points to a potentially volatile week in Biotech (MRNA, CLOV, NVAX) and EV names as the RSI indicator for the S&P 500 is sitting at an extreme level…

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Don Kaufman Don Kaufman

TheoTrade co-founder, former CBOE market maker and thinkorswim Chief Derivatives Instructor.

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